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atlanta falcons vs new orleans saints prediction 11/26/2023 sport preview

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction & Betting Tips 11/26/2023

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Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 11/26/2023:
  • Take the Saints on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Falcons (+1)
  • Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Preview

At 1:00 ET, the Saints and Falcons clash at Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a week 12 NFL matchup. Catch the action on FOX, with the game set for Sunday, November 26th.

The Saints come into this NFC South showdown, as the 1 point road favorite. Will they be able to take care of business on the road? Read on to find out. Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Falcons – New Orleans Saints odds

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In their two head to head matchups last season, the Saints went 2-0. The two teams averaged a combined 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, the Falcons went 2-0. On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Saints averaging 366.5 yards per game compared to the Falcons at 368.

The Saints have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head to head matchups vs. the Falcons. In addition to going 2-1 vs. the spread in the last three head-to-head games vs. the Saints, the Falcons are 2-1 ATS the last three times they have hosted the Saints.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

Going into week 12, New Orleans is 1st in the NFC-South with an overall record of 5-5. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 4th place. When it comes to the spread, the Saints come in at 2-7-1. Going into week 12, their scoring margin per game is +1.6. New Orleans games this season have averaged 41.2 points, which is 19th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 3-7, with an average OU line of 41 points.

Overall, the Saints offense is averaging 21.4 points per game which is 17th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Saints are averaging 23.5 points per contest. New Orleans is sitting 8th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 12, their opponents are putting up an average of 19.8 points per game, on 312.7 yards per contest.

The Falcons enter their matchup against the Saints with a 4-6 record. This mark puts them 2nd in NFC-South. In the NFC overall standings, they are 10th. Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Falcons are above .500 at 2-8. Their average scoring margin is -2.8. So far this season, Atlanta games are 21st in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 4-6, with an average over/under line for their games set at 40.8 points.

On offense, the Falcons are currently averaging 18.9 points per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. The Falcons currently rank 16th in tackles for loss and 17th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 21.7 points per game and 308.8 yards per contest against them.

Coming in as 1 point favorites, our projections have the Saints picking up a 19-18 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives New Orleans 54% chance of taking down the Falcons.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Betting Tips

  • Take the Saints on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Falcons (+1)
  • Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under

Atlanta Falcons Injury Report

  • Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
  • Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
  • Dee Alford – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
  • LaCale London – Knee (Out)
  • Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
  • Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
  • Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
  • Mack Hollins – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
  • Taylor Heinicke – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • David Onyemata – Ankle (Questionable)

New Orleans Saints Injury Report

  • Marshon Lattimore – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Michael Thomas – Knee (Questionable)
  • Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
  • Derek Carr – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
  • Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
  • Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
  • Shaquan Davis – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Isaiah Foskey – Quadriceps (Questionable)
  • Kendre Miller – Ankle (Questionable)

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