Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Preview
You can find this week 11 NFL matchup between the Jets and Bills on CBS at 4:25 (11/19/23). This game will be played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park (NY).
In a matchup between two AFC teams, the Bills are 7 point favorites at home. Are they they best bet on the spread? Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below. Check out BetCoco for Buffalo Bills – New York Jets odds
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last year, the Jets and Bills split their head-to-head matchups with each team going 1-1. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 0-2, with the team’s combining to average 34.5 points per contest. When looking at the spread, the Jets went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups. The Jets’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 309.5 yards per game of offense. As for the Bills, they averaged 274.5 yards offensively.
In the last five head to head matchups, the Bills have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. In the last five head to head games between the Jets and Bills, the average combined point total is 41 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 1-4.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction
As the Jets face off against their division rival, they are 4-5 overall and have gone 1-1 in their two division games. Heading into week 11, the Jets are in 3rd place in the AFC-East. When looking at how they have played on the road, they are 2-2 so far this year. The current scoring margin for the Jets’ is -3.1, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 4-4-1. New York games this season have averaged 35.1 points, which is 29th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 3-6, with an average OU line of 39.7 points.
At 16 points per contest, the New York offense is 27th in the league. Heading into this week’s matchup with the Bills, the Jets defense has given up an average of 19.1 points per game. They are currently 5th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 307.8 yards per contest.
This season, the Bills are 2nd in the AFC-East on an overall record of 5-5. In non-conference games, their record is 3-0 while going 2-5 in AFC action. This season, the Bills find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 3-7. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +7.8. This season, the Bills have an over/under record of 3-7. Their games have seen an average over/under betting line of 46.2 points, and the average combined score per game has been 44.6 points.
On offense, the Bills are averaging 26.2 points per game, putting them 7th in the NFL. In terms of yards allowed, the Bills are 17th in the league while giving up 330.6 yards per contest. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 18.4 points per game, placing them 4th in the NFL.
Looking at our projections, the Bills are expected to take down the Jets by a score of 28-17. Our advanced model indicates a 82% chance of victory for the Bills.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Betting Tips
- Take the Bills on the moneyline
- The Bills should also cover at -7
- Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
- Christian Benford – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
- Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
- Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
- Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
- Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Out)
- Dawson Knox – Wrist (Out)
- Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
- Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
- DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
- Micah Hyde – Neck (Questionable)
- Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
New York Jets Injury Report
- Sam Eguavoen – Hip (Questionable)
- Justin Hardee – Hamstring (Out)
- Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
- Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
- Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Out)
- Duane Brown – Shoulder/hip (Questionable)
- Billy Turner – Finger (Questionable)
- Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Out)
- Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)
- Chazz Surratt – Ankle (Questionable)
- Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
- Kenny Yeboah – Hamstring (Out)
- Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
- Will McDonald IV – Ankle (Questionable)
