San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview
On Sunday, November 19th, the 49ers are hosting the Buccaneers at Levi’s Stadium. This week 11 NFL football matchup kicks off at 4:05 ET with FOX carrying the television coverage.
In a matchup between two NFC teams, the 49ers are 11.5 point favorites at home. Are they they best bet on the spread? Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below. Check out BetCoco for San Francisco 49ers – Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The 49ers picked up a 35-7 over the Buccaneers in their only head-to-head matchup last season. With a combined 42 points, the Buccaneers and 49ers surpassed the over/under line of 38.5. The 49ers covered the spread in this matchup. In last year’s win, the 49ers finished with 404 of total offense, with 209 coming in the running game and 195 through the air. On the other side, the Buccaneers ended the game with 322 of offense.
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then 49ers and Buccaneers have gone in favor of the 49ers, putting together a record of 6-4. In the last three games as the favorite against the Buccaneers, the 49ers have put together a 2-1 vs. the spread.
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
Looking at the NFC-South standings, the Buccaneers are in 2nd place on a record of 4-5. In the NFC, Tampa Bay is in 8th place heading into week 11. Looking at the Buccaneers’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +0.6. This has led to an ATS record of 6-3. Up to this point in the season, games featuring Tampa Bay have ranked 23rd in total points. They have maintained an over/under record of 2-7, and the average over/under line for their games is 41.3 points.
Tampa Bay’s offense has been getting off to slow starts this season, ranking 23rd in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 19.8 points per game (20th). When it comes to turnovers, the Tampa Bay defense has forced 16 takeaways, putting them 3rd in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 19.2 points per game and yielding 354.1 yards.
In their matchup against the Buccaneers, the 49ers aim to build on their 6-3 record. This places them 1st in the NFC-West and 3rd in the NFC. In terms of the spread, the 49ers hold a record of 5-3-1. This has come on an average scoring margin of +12.1. So far this season, the 49ers have been given an average over/under line of 43.1 points. Their games have averaged 43.9 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 4-4-1.
In terms of offense, the 49ers are at 28 points per game, ranking them 3rd in the NFL. On defense, the 49ers are currently positioned 9th in tackles for loss and 11th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 15.9 points per game and gaining 304.6 yards per contest.
With a 11.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the 49ers to secure a 28-17 victory. Our analytics have assigned San Francisco a 81% chance of defeating the Buccaneers.
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Tips
- Take the 49ers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Buccaneers (+11.5)
- Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over
San Francisco 49ers Injury Report
- Drake Jackson – Knee (Out)
- Aaron Banks – Toe (Questionable)
- Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles – Ankle (Questionable)
- Samuel Womack III – Knee (Questionable)
- Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
- Robert Beal Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Darrell Luter Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report
- Josh Hayes – Concussion (Questionable)
- Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
- Carlton Davis III – Toe (Questionable)
- Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
- Matt Feiler – Knee (Questionable)
- Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
