Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Preview
You can find this week 10 NFL matchup between the Saints and Vikings on FOX at 1:00 (11/12/23). This game will be played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis (MN).
In this NFC matchup, the Saints are heading in as 2.5 point road favorites. Will they manage to win on the road and cover? Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Vikings – New Orleans Saints odds
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the only head to head matchp between the teams last season, the Vikings won by a score of 28-25. The over/under line in last year’s matchup between the Saints and Vikings was 41.5, which they surpassed with 53 point combined. The Saints finished with the ATS win in this game. In last year’s win, the Vikings finished with 344 of total offense, with 81 coming in the running game and 263 through the air. On the other side, the Saints ended the game with 338 of offense.
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Vikings have the edge in their recent matchups against New Orleans, posting a record of 2-1. In the last three games Minnesota is averaging 29 points per game compared to 32 for the Saints.
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Prediction
So far this season, the Saints are 5-4 overall which has the team placed 1st in the NFC-South. This record has come while going 1-0 as the underdog and 4-4 when favored. Against the spread, the Saints have a record of 2-6-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +2.7. The average over/under line for the Saints this season is currently 41.1 points. So far, their games have averaged 40.7 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 2-7.
As they enter week 10, the Saints offense ranks 15th in the league, averaging 21.7 points per contest. On the defensive front, the Saints enter the game as the 17th ranked team in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 19 points per game against them, along with an average of 304.3 yards per contest.
Minnesota is currently 2nd in the NFC-North this season, with an overall record of 5-4. In games outside the conference, they are 0-2 and in NFC games, they’ve gone 5-2. Thus far this season, the Vikings hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 5-3-1. Their average scoring margin in the current season is +1.8. Coming in with an over/under record of 2-7, the Vikings have an average margin of -1.9 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 44 points per game.
As they enter week 10, the Vikings offense ranks 13th in the league, averaging 22.9 points per contest. Heading into this week’s matchup with the Saints, the Vikings defense has given up an average of 21.1 points per game. They are currently 12th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 328.0 yards per contest.
Even though they are 2.5 point underdogs, we see the Vikings winning this game by a score of 21-20. After running simulations of the game, the Vikings have a win probability of 52% vs. the Saints.
Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Betting Tips
- We like the Vikings on the moneyline (+118)
- The Vikings are also our pick on the spread at +2.5
- Our NFL model projects 41 points, and we suggest taking the under
Minnesota Vikings Injury Report
- Brian Asamoah II – Ankle (Questionable)
- Christian Darrisaw – Groin (Questionable)
- James Lynch – Knee (Out)
- K.J. Osborn – Concussion (Questionable)
- Justin Jefferson – Hamstring (Out)
- Cam Akers – Achilles (Out)
- Olisaemeka Udoh – Quad (Out)
- Nick Mullens – Back (Out)
- Marcus Davenport – Ankle (Out)
- T.J. Hockenson – Oblique (Questionable)
- Dean Lowry – Groin (Questionable)
- Chris Reed – Lower Leg (Questionable)
- Kirk Cousins – Achilles (Out)
- Jalen Nailor – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jaren Hall – Concussion (Questionable)
- Malik Knowles – Undisclosed (Out)
New Orleans Saints Injury Report
- Adam Prentice – Knee (Out)
- Payton Turner – Toe (Out)
- Ty Summers – Concussion/hamstring (Questionable)
- Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Connelly – Undisclosed (Out)
- Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
- Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
- Shaquan Davis – Undisclosed (Out)
- Isaiah Foskey – Quadriceps (Questionable)
- Kendre Miller – Illness (Questionable)
