Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Preview
On Sunday, November 5th, the Falcons are hosting the Vikings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This week 9 NFL football matchup kicks off at 1:00 ET with FOX carrying the television coverage.
In this NFC matchup, the Falcons are heading in as 3.5 point home favorites. Will they manage to win at home and cover? Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Falcons – Minnesota Vikings odds
Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Vikings and Falcons did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 6-2-2 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
- In their last three games at home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Vikings have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Falcons have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction
In the NFC-North standings, the Vikings are in 2nd place with a record of 4-4. Within the NFC, Minnesota is 7th, heading into week 9. The current scoring margin for the Vikings’ is +1.6, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 4-3-1. The average over/under line for Minnesota games this season is currently 46.9 points. They have an over/under record of 1-7 with an average margin against the over/under of -4.8.
Regarding their offense, the Vikings have an average 21.9 points per game, which places them 14th in the NFL. On defense, the Vikings come into the game ranked 15th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 20.2 points per game vs. them along with an average of 322.8 yards per contest.
Over the course of eight games, the Falcons have put together a record of 4-4. This positions them 1st in the NFC-South and 4th in the NFC. So far this season, the Falcons are above .500 vs. the spread at 2-6. Their average scoring margin this season is -2.9. So far this season, Atlanta games are 27th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 2-6, with an average over/under line for their games set at 40.8 points.
For this season, the Atlanta offense has an average of 17.2 points per game, placing them at 25th in the league. Atlanta is sitting 13th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 9, their opponents are putting up an average of 20.1 points per game, on 296.6 yards per contest.
Coming in as 3.5 point favorites, our projections have the Falcons picking up a 20-19 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives Atlanta 51% chance of taking down the Vikings.
Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Tips
- Take the Falcons on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Vikings (+3.5)
- Projecting a combined 39 points, we like the over
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Mike Hughes – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Desmond Ridder – Concussion (Probable)
- DeMarcco Hellams – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- LaCale London – Knee (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Parker Hesse – Undisclosed (Out)
- Drake London – Groin (Questionable)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Keith Smith – Concussion (Questionable)
- Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
Minnesota Vikings Injury Report
- Dean Lowry – Groin (Questionable)
- Nick Mullens – Back (Out)
- Kirk Cousins – Achilles (Out)
- Chris Reed – Lower Leg (Questionable)
- Marcus Davenport – Ankle (Out)
- Olisaemeka Udoh – Quad (Out)
- Justin Jefferson – Hamstring (Out)
- James Lynch – Knee (Out)
- Brian Asamoah II – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jalen Nailor – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Malik Knowles – Undisclosed (Out)
- Akayleb Evans – Neck (Questionable)
- Brandon Powell – Shoulder (Questionable)
- K.J. Osborn – Chest (Questionable)
