Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview
At 9:30 ET, the Jaguars and Bills square off at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in a week 5 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to NFLN with the game being played on Sunday, October 8th.
The Bills are set as 5.5 point favorites at home in this AFC showdown. Can they pull off a home win and cover the spread? Check out BetCoco for Buffalo Bills – Jacksonville Jaguars odds
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Jaguars and Bills did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Jaguars have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Bills went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 24 points per game.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 27 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- The Bills are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
- The last five games that Buffalo was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
- The Jaguars have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
Going into week 5, Jacksonville is 3rd in the AFC-South with an overall record of 2-2. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 9th place. The Jaguars hold a 2-2 record against the spread. As we approach week 5, their scoring margin stands at -0.5 per game. Coming in with an over/under record of 2-2, the Jaguars have an average margin of -5 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 40.5 points per game.
Offensively, the Jaguars have an average of 20 points per game, which is 19th in the NFL. The Jaguars defense comes into the game with rankings of 6th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 20.5 points per game and gaining 333.0 yards (per game).
As the Bills travel to take on the Jaguars, they are a perfect 2-0 on the road and have an overall record of 3-1. In the AFC-East, the Bills are in 1st place and 3rd in the AFC. This season, the Bills boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 3-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is +21. This season, the Bills have an over/under record and have an average margin of +1.5 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 48.5 points per game.
As they enter week 5, the Bills offense ranks 2nd in the league, averaging 34.8 points per contest. The Buffalo defense has 11 takeaways this season, positioning them 1st in the NFL. Overall, they are at 13.8 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 288.0 yards.
The Bills enter this game as 5.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 27-24. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics suggests that the Buffalo team has a 57% chance of prevailing over the Jaguars.
Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Tips
- Take the Bills on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Jaguars (+5.5)
- Projecting a combined 51 points, we like the over
Buffalo Bills Injury Report
- Christian Benford – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Damien Harris – Neck (Questionable)
- Dawson Knox – Quad (Questionable)
- Greg Rousseau – Foot (Questionable)
- Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
- Baylon Spector – Hamstring (Out)
- Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
- Khalil Shakir – Head (Questionable)
- Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
- Von Miller – Knee (Questionable)
- Jordan Poyer – Knee (Questionable)
- Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report
- Dawuane Smoot – Achilles (Questionable)
- Jamal Agnew – Quad (Questionable)
- Zay Jones – Knee (Questionable)
- Gregory Junior – Hamstring (Out)
- Devin Lloyd – Thumb (Questionable)
- Chris Claybrooks – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
- Jaylon Moore – Knee (Out)
- DaVon Hamilton – Back (Out)
- Parker Washington – Knee (Questionable)
- Antonio Johnson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Ventrell Miller – Achilles (Out)
- Leonard Taylor – Undisclosed (Out)
- Cooper Hodges – Knee (Out)
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Josh Allen – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Cam Robinson – Non Injury Related (personal) (Probable)
