Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans Preview
At 1:00 ET, the Texans and Falcons meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a week 5 NFL game. TV coverage is provided by FOX, and the game takes place on Sunday, October 8th.
In this non-conference clash, Atlanta comes in as 1.5 point road favorites against the Texans. Check out my recommendations and betting analysis by continuing to read. Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Falcons – Houston Texans odds
Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Texans and Falcons have gone in favor of the Texans, putting together a record of 6-3. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Texans and Falcons, the teams have averaged 60 points per game with an over/under record of 2-1. The last three times they have faced off with the Falcons as the home team, the OU record is 1-2.
- Across their ten previous road games, Houston has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 20 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 10 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Atlanta posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Texans have gone 3-6-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans Prediction
The Texans come into their matchup against the Falcons with a 2-2 record. In the AFC-South, they are 2nd and 7th in AFC overall standings. When it comes to the spread, the Texans come in at 2-2. Going into week 5, their scoring margin per game is +4.2. Looking at their over/under lines, the Texans have seen an average line of 41.9 points. Their games have averaged 43.8 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 2-2.
For this season, the Houston offense has an average of 24 points per game, placing them at 14th in the league. Defensively, the Texans come into the game allowing an average of 195.2 passing yards per game and 116.5 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Houston ranks 10th among other defenses. Overall, they are giving up 19.8 points on 311.8 yards.
FOUR games into the season, the Falcons hold a 2-2 record. This has them 2nd within the NFC-South and 7th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Falcons come in at 1-3. Going into week 5, their scoring margin per game is -3.8. This season, the Falcons have an over/under record of 1-3. Their average over/under betting line so far is 42.5 points with their games averaging a combined 34.8 points per contest.
For this season, the Atlanta offense has an average of 15.5 points per game, placing them at 24th in the league. When it comes to turnovers, the Atlanta defense has forced four takeaways, putting them 8th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 19.2 points per game and yielding 290.8 yards.
Our projections indicate that the Falcons should come out top with a projected score of 21-16. According to our advanced model, the Falcons have a 66% probability of winning this matchup.
Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans Betting Tips
- Take the Falcons on the moneyline
- The Falcons should also cover at -1.5
- Our NFL model projects 37 points, and we suggest taking the under
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Parker Hesse – Undisclosed (Out)
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Penny Hart – Concussion (Out)
Houston Texans Injury Report
- Tytus Howard – Hand (Questionable)
- Michael Deiter – Chest (Probable)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Tavierre Thomas – Hand (Probable)
- Cameron Johnston – Calf (Questionable)
- Denzel Perryman – Hand/wrist (Probable)
- Hassan Ridgeway – Calf (Out)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Questionable)
- Noah Brown – Groin (Out)
- Derek Stingley Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
- Josh Jones – Hand (Questionable)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
- Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Shaq Mason – Ankle (Questionable)
- Dameon Pierce – Knee (Questionable)
- Maliek Collins – Abdomen (Questionable)
