Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears – Preview
You can find this week 5 NFL matchup between the Bears and Commanders on AMAZON at 8:15 (10/5/23). This game will be played at FedEx Field in Landover (MD).
The odds for this week 5 NFC matchup have the Commanders as the 6 point favorites at home. Will the Commanders pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Thursday. Check out BetCoco for Washington Commanders – Chicago Bears odds
Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears – Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Commanders picked up a 12-7 over the Bears in their only head-to-head matchup last season. With their combined 19 points, the Bears and Commanders stayed below the over/under line of 38.5. The Commanders covered the spread in this matchup. In last year’s win, the Commanders finished with 214 of total offense, with 128 coming in the running game and 86 through the air. On the other side, the Bears ended the game with 392 of offense.
In the last five head to head matchups, the Commanders have had the upper-hand, going 4-1. Over the last three head to head matchups, the Commanders have gone 2-1 against the spread. When looking at the last three times they have host the Bears, the Commanders are 3-0 ATS.
Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears – Prediction
Through four games, the Bears have a record of 0-4. This mark has them 4th in the NFC-North and 15th in the NFC. The Bears’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at -15.5, putting their ATS record at 0-3-1. With an over/under record of 4-0, the Bears come in with an average margin of +8.9 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 53 points per game.
On offense, the Bears are at 18.8 points per game, putting them 21st in the NFL. Chicago is sitting 28th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 5, their opponents are putting up an average of 34.2 points per game, on 383.2 yards per contest.
Taking on the Bears, the Commanders will look to improve on their record of 2-2. This mark has them in 3rd in the NFC-East and 9th in the NFC. The Commanders’ have a scoring margin of -7.8 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 2-2. The average over/under line for Washington games this season is currently 40.8 points. They have an over/under record of 2-2 with an average margin against the over/under of +11.5.
So far this season, the Washington offense has been averaging 22.2 points per game, ranking them 16th in the league. On defense, the Commanders come into the game ranked 2nd in tackles for loss and 4th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 30 points per game vs. them along with an average of 352.5 yards per contest.
With a 6-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Commanders to secure a 20-19 victory. Our analytics have assigned Washington a 52% chance of defeating the Bears.
Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears – Betting Tips
- Take the Commanders on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Bears (+6)
- Our NFL model projects 39 points, and we suggest taking the under
Washington Commanders – Injury Report
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. – Illness (Questionable)
- Jahan Dotson – Ankle (Questionable)
- Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
- Phidarian Mathis – Calf (Out)
- Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
- David Bada – Triceps (Out)
- Troy Apke – Shoulder (Out)
- Kaden Smith – Undisclosed (Out)
- Efe Obada – Knee (Out)
- Curtis Samuel – Quad (Questionable)
- Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
- Christian Holmes – Back (Questionable)
- Drew White – Knee (Out)
- Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
- Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
Chicago Bears – Injury Report
- Chase Claypool – Personal (Out)
- Khalid Kareem – Hip (Out)
- Jaylon Johnson – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Teven Jenkins – Calf (Questionable)
- Braxton Jones – Neck (Out)
- Eddie Jackson – Foot (Questionable)
- Kyler Gordon – Hand (Out)
- Doug Kramer – Lower Leg (Out)
- Josh Blackwell – Hamstring (Out)
