Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-958) will host the Bucks (+614) in a non-conference matchup. Oklahoma City is favored by 14.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 223.5.
KSBI will have the TV coverage, and the game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Milwaukee Bucks odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Thunder have faced off vs. the Bucks as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In the last five head to head games between the Bucks and Thunder, the average combined point total is 224 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.
- In their last five games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 109 points per game in this stretch.
- Across the Thunder last ten home games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-8, while going 6-4 straight-up.
- Through their last three games as the underdog, the Bucks have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
- The last ten games that Oklahoma City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 9-1 straight up.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
The Bucks have a record of 40-40-0 on the over/under this season, with an average O/U line of 234.7 points. Today’s line of 223.5 is lower than 65 of their previous games, and their games have averaged 235.8 points per game.
Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 35-45, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 16-22 ATS, while going 19-23 ATS at home.
After defeating the Magic by a score of 117-99, the Bucks have won two straight games. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 2nd place with a record of 49-31.
In non-conference games, the Bucks are 15-14 compared to 34-17 against the East. As the underdog, they are 4-9 straight-up and 6-7 ATS. Today, they are 14.5-point underdogs.
This season, the Bucks have been one of the top offensive teams in the NBA, averaging 119.5 points per game (4th). On the road, they have scored 117.7 points per game (5th).
In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 6th in the league at 100 possessions per game. Overall, they have been an efficient shooting team, ranking 7th in field goal percentage (48%).
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 5th in both makes (14.3) and attempts (38.3) per game. However, their three-point percentage is 9th at 37%.
Currently, the Bucks’ defense holds the 21st rank in the NBA, allowing 116.3 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Bucks are forcing 12.3 per game, which is 12th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 15th in blocked shots at 5.1 per game.
Today, the Thunder are favored by 14.5 points against the Bucks. This season, OKC has been favored in 59 of their 80 games and have gone 45-14 in those games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record as the favorite is 33-26 at home and 25-14 overall. Currently, they have covered the spread in three straight games at home and are 45-35 ATS for the season.
In the Western Conference, the Thunder are in 3rd place with a record of 55-25. In non-conference games, they are 20-9 compared to 35-16 against the West. At home, they are 31-8 and 24-17 on the road.
The Thunder have won three straight games overall and are coming off a 127-89 victory over the Spurs. In that game, they were favored by 17 points and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 231 points.
Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 43-36-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 232.9 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 223.5.
At home, the Thunder are averaging 122.8 points per game, which is 2nd in the league. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 119.8 points per game. They have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.5% of their games this season.
Oklahoma City is 7th in pace at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 49%. In terms of two-point field goal percentage, they are 6th at 56%. From three-point range, they have hit 38% of their attempts, which is 2nd in the NBA.
When it comes to assists, the Thunder are 13th in the league at 26.9 per game. They are also 12th in free throws made per game at 17.8. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 29th in the league at 8.8 per game.
So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 12th in the league at 113.1 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Thunder squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.2% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.6% from downtown.
With the Thunder being favored by 14.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 114-110 in favor of the Thunder.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips
- Take the Thunder on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Bucks (+14.5)
- Projecting a combined 224 points, we like the over
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Giannis Antetokounmpo – Calf – Out
- Khris Middleton – Ankle – Questionable
- Brook Lopez – Rest – Questionable
- Damian Lillard – Adductor – Doubtful
- Bobby Portis – Rest – Questionable
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo – Hamstring – Probable
- MarJon Beauchamp – Ankle – Questionable
- AJ Green – Ankle – Out
- Jaylin Galloway – Ankle – Out
