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san antonio spurs vs denver nuggets 04 12 2024 sport preview

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips 4/12/2024

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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets 4/12/24
  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Spurs (+12.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 218 points, and we suggest taking the under

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Preview

At 8:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-837) will take on the San Antonio Spurs (+564) at Frost Bank Center. The Nuggets are currently favored by 12.5 points and have a record of 56-24. They are on a three-game win streak and are ranked first in the Western Conference.

This Western Conference matchup will be played in San Antonio and will be televised on BSSW. The over/under line is currently set at 223.5 points.

Check out BetCoco for San Antonio Spurs – Denver Nuggets odds

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Nuggets have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head to head matchups vs. the Spurs. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Spurs and Nuggets, the Spurs hold the edge with an ATS record of 6-4.

  • Although Denver has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 108 points per game in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Denver has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets have won three straight games and are currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 56-24. In non-conference play, they are 24-6 compared to 32-18 against the West.

On the road, the Nuggets are 23-16 and have gone 16-22 ATS. Their straight-up road scoring margin is +.4 points per game, and they have an ATS scoring differential of 21-19.

Denver has been favored in 70 of their 80 games this season and have a record of 52-18 in those games. As the favorite, they are 32-36 ATS with an average scoring differential of +6.5 points per game.

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves by a score of 116-107. The O/U line for that game was 213 points. Denver covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites.

This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 32-46-2. In their games, the average combined scoring is 224.1 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 223.5.

This season, the Nuggets have been one of the most efficient teams in the NBA on offense, ranking 4th in field goal percentage and 11th in true shooting percentage. However, they are just 25th in three-pointers made per game and 30th in three-point attempts.

When it comes to scoring, Denver is 14th in the league at 114.7 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been a better offensive team on the road (110.6 PPG) than at home (118.5 PPG).

Overall, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.5% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 25.0% of their games. Currently, they are 6th in the NBA at 109.4 points per game allowed. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.3% and 35.4% from three-point territory.

This season, the Spurs have an O/U record of 40-39-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is 223.5, which is lower than the season average of 231.9.

In their last game, the Spurs were 17-point underdogs against the Thunder and lost by a score of 127-89. The O/U line for that game was 231 points.

San Antonio is 14-58 as the underdog this season and has gone 36-36 ATS as the underdog. As the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -9.1 points per game.

At home, the Spurs have an ATS record of 20-19 and are 10-29 straight-up. In terms of scoring differential, they are at -5.1 points per game at home.

This season, the average combined scoring total in Spurs games is 230.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5.

In the Western Conference standings, the Spurs are in 15th place with a record of 20-60. Against the West, they are 13-37 and 3-13 in their division.

At home, the Spurs are scoring 113.8 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 111.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 25th in the league at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 17th in made threes per game but just 29th in three-point shooting percentage. So far this season, they have made 12.6 threes per game.

San Antonio has been one of the most efficient teams in terms of pace, ranking 2nd at 101.3 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 2nd in the NBA at 29.8 per game.

Coming into the game, the Spurs will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 118.9 points per game (25th). Inside the arc, the Spurs defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.6% and 37.3% from three-point territory.

The Nuggets enter this game as 12.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 110-108.

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips

  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Spurs (+12.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 218 points, and we suggest taking the under

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

  • Cedi Osman – Ankle – Out
  • Keldon Johnson – Foot – Out
  • Devin Vassell – Foot – Out
  • Charles Bassey – Left Knee – Out
  • Dominick Barlow – Knee – Out
  • Jeremy Sochan – Ankle – Out

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • Aaron Gordon – Foot – Probable
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Right Shoulder – Probable
  • Nikola Jokic – Hip – Probable
  • Jamal Murray – Knee – Probable
  • Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
  • Michael Porter Jr. – Quadriceps – Probable
  • Zeke Nnaji – Adductor – Probable

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