Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Preview
On Saturday, January 20th at 4:30 PM ET, the Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD. ESPN is carrying television coverage for the game.
In a matchup between two AFC teams, the Ravens are 9.5-point favorites at home. Are they the best bet against the spread? Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below. Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Ravens – Houston Texans odds
Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Texans and Ravens did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Ravens have the leg up at 3-0. The Ravens also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 43 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Houston has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 16 points per game while allowing 21. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- In their last five home games, Baltimore has averaged 26 points per game while allowing 15. The team’s record in this stretch was 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Houston has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
- The Ravens have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Prediction
Coming into their game against the Ravens, the Texans are trying to improve on a 10-7 record. This mark has them at 1st in the AFC-South and 4th in the AFC. The Texans have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 10-8. Their average scoring margin for this season is +3.1. Houston games this season have averaged 43.8 points, which is 18th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 7-11, with an average OU line of 42.8 points.
With an average of 23.4 points per contest, the Houston offense currently ranks 11th in the league. The Texans currently rank 2nd in tackles for loss and 9th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 20.4 points per game and 330.3 yards per contest against them.
Going into the Divisional round, Baltimore is 1st in the AFC-North with an overall record of 13-4. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 1st place. This season, the Ravens boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 11-6. Their average scoring margin for this season is +11.9. With an over/under record of 8-9, the Ravens come in with an average margin of +2.1 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have averaged 44.9 points per game (combined).
On the offensive side of the ball, the Ravens currently hold an average of 28.4 points per game, which places them at 3rd in the NFL. In terms of defense, the Ravens hold the 7th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 1st in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 16.5 points and gain 301.4 yards per game against them.
Coming in as 9.5-point favorites, our projections have the Ravens picking up a 26-19 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives Baltimore a 70% chance of taking down the Texans.
Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Betting Tips
- Take the Ravens on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Texans (+9.5)
- Projecting a combined 45 points, we like the over
Baltimore Ravens Injury Report
- Tyler Linderbaum – Ankle (Out)
- Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
- J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
- Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
- Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
- Marcus Williams – Pectoral (Out)
- Marlon Humphrey – Foot (Out)
- Ronnie Stanley – Knee (Out)
- Keaton Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
- Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
- Damarion Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
Houston Texans Injury Report
- Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
- Jalen Pitre – Chest (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Hassan Ridgeway – Calf (Out)
- Jimmie Ward – Hip (Out)
- Cameron Johnston – Calf (Out)
- Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
- Tytus Howard – Hand (Out)
- DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
- Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
- Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
- Noah Brown – Groin (Out)
- Neville Hewitt – Illness (Out)
- Laremy Tunsil – Knee (Out)
- Brandon Hill – Undisclosed (Out)
- Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
- Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
