Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Preview
Betting on today’s Heat and Jazz game? Catch the action at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT, as the Jazz hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on KJZZ.
The Heat are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 227 points. Check out BetCoco for Utah Jazz – Miami Heat odds
Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Heat have been dominant over the Jazz, going 5-0 in their last five head to head games. Going back to the last five head-to-head games between the Jazz and Heat, the over/under record in these games is 5-0 with a combined average of 233 points per contest.
- Across their last five road contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 110 points per game.
- Across the Jazz last ten home games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 120. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 4-6 straight-up.
- The Jazz have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Miami Heat will take on the Jazz as slight 1.5-point favorites. Before we look at their stats for the season, don’t forget that the Heat have put together four straight wins. Miami’s overall record this season is 19-12, which has them 4th in the Eastern Conference.
When playing on the road, the Heat have been slightly better both straight up and ATS. Miami’s road record for the season is 10-6, and they have covered the spread in two straight games on the road. Their average scoring differential on the road is +3.4 points per game.
Against the spread, Miami’s mark for the season is 15-15, but they have each of their last four games. As the favorite, the Heat have gone 14-4 this season and have also covered the spread in two straight games as the favorite.
So far, 24 of Miami’s games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 227 points. The average over/under line in their games this season is 221.7 points, and their OU record for the season is 16-15. In their last game, the Heat picked up a 114-102 win over the Warriors as 6.5-point underdogs.
In 61.3% of their games, the Heat offense has scored below their opponent’s defensive average for the season. On average, Miami is 19th in scoring with 113.4 points per game. When it comes to three-pointers, Miami hasn’t heavily relied on them, as they average 32.9 attempts per game. Overall, the Heat shoot 47% from the field while averaging 96.7 possessions per game.
Miami’s defense has been playing well, ranking 7th in the NBA with 111.5 points allowed per game. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.4 turnovers per game, which is 7th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.1 rejections per game.
With a record of 13-19, the Jazz will look to pick up a win at home today as they host the Heat. When looking at the standings, the Jazz are 12th in the West and 4th in the Northwest.
Utah’s average scoring margin at home this season is +2.8 points per contest, and they have put together two straight wins at home. For the season, they have been the underdog in 27 of their 32 games and have gone 14-13 against the spread as the underdog.
Today, the Jazz find themselves as the slight 1.5-point underdogs at home. The over/under record in their games is currently 18-13, and 13 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 227. The Jazz’ over/under record in these games is 7-6.
In their 112-105 loss to the Pelicans, Utah fell short of the 8.5-point spread but did enough to cover as the underdogs.
In their last game, the Jazz scored 105 points against the Pelicans. They ended up shooting 42.4% from the field, going 12/39 from beyond the arc. This season, the Jazz have struggled from three, shooting just 35% as a team. On average, they attempt 37.3 threes per game and make 17.6 free-throws.
Looking at the Jazz defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 119.1 points per game (24th). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Jazz defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.8% while allowing 37.9% from downtown.
Looking at our projections, the Heat are expected to take down the Jazz by a score of 115-107.
Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -1.5
- Our NBA model projects 222 points, and we suggest taking the under
Utah Jazz Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kyle Lowry – Soreness – Questionable
- Jimmy Butler – Calf – Questionable
- Josh Richardson – Back – Questionable
- Duncan Robinson – Ankle – Probable
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Doubtful
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Illness – Questionable
