Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
Don’t miss out on the NBA showdown between the Mavericks and Warriors. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on NBCS, and it’s hosted by the Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Get ready to place your bets!
The over/under for this game is set at 240.5 points, and the Warriors are the home favorites against the Mavericks in a Western conference matchup. Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Dallas Mavericks odds
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Warriors are averaging 119 points per game, compared to the Mavericks at 118. These figures have led to Golden State posting a record of 2-1.
- Across the Mavericks last ten road games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
- Although Golden State has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 119 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- The Warriors have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Through 32 games, the Mavericks are 18-14 and have dropped two straight games. As they travel to take on the Warriors, they are 5-point underdogs.
In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are in 6th place and sit 1st in the Southwest Division. Against other teams in the West, Dallas has gone 13-11 compared to 5-3 in non-conference games.
So far this season, the Mavericks have been the underdog in 12 of their 32 games and have gone 4-8 straight-up in those games. Their average scoring margin as the underdog is -8.2 points per game.
On the road, Dallas has gone 10-7 this season both straight-up and against the spread on average, they are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 points per game on the road. This has led to an 11-6 ATS mark for the season.
In their games, the over/under record is 20-12 with today’s line of 240.5. Their games have averaged 236.4 points per game, and this season, just six of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 240.5.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks scored 110 points against the Timberwolves. They shot 44.4% from the field and made 14 three-pointers. Over their last three games, the Mavericks have an effective field goal percentage of 55.1% compared to their season-long EFG of 55% (10th). In their five most recent games, Dallas is shooting 34.9% from three, which is 12th in the league.
At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 22nd, allowing 117.6 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.5 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 25th in blocked shots at 4.4 per game.
The Golden State Warriors will look to snap their two-game losing streak today when they host the Mavericks. Overall, the Warriors are 15-16 and sit 11th in the Western Conference. Against other teams in the Pacific Division, Golden State is just 3-6 for 5th place.
Coming into today’s game, the Warriors are 5-point favorites at home. When playing at home, Golden State has an average scoring margin of +0.2 points per game and have gone 9-7 straight up. Against the spread, they are 5-10 at home.
The over/under record in their games is 16-14-1, but the under has hit in two straight. Today’s line of 240.5 is slightly higher than their average over/under line of 229.7. This season, just one of their games has had a higher over/under line than 240.5.
Against other teams in the West, the Warriors have gone 11-13 straight up and 9-6 on the road. When favored, Golden State has a scoring margin of +2.5 points per game and have gone 12-6 ATS as the favorite.
In their last game, the Warriors only scored 102 points against the Heat. In the game, they shot 8/33 from three and had a field goal percentage of 42%. The team’s leading scorer is Stephen Curry, who comes into today’s game averaging 27.4 PPG. Klay Thompson is also averaging 17.2 PPG.
On defense, the Warriors come into the game ranked 19th in the league in points allowed at 115.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 113.3 points per contest (12th). Inside the arc, the Warriors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.9% and 35.1% from three-point territory.
Even though they are considered 5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 117-109 win for the Mavericks.
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+154)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +5
- Our NBA model projects 226 points, and we suggest taking the under
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Draymond Green – Suspension – Out
- Kevon Looney – Illness – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Kyrie Irving – Foot – Doubtful
- Maxi Kleber – Toe – Out
- Luka Doncic – Quad – Questionable
