Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Preview
At 8:15 ET, the Patriots and Broncos square off at Empower Field at Mile High in a week 16 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to NFLN with the game being played on Sunday, December 24th.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Broncos – New England Patriots odds
Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Denver and New England, the Patriots hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 11 points.
- In their last three games away from home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
- Through their last three home contests, the Broncos offense has averaged 19 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Denver posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the Patriots have an ATS mark of just 2-7-1 in their last ten games. New England posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Broncos have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-6-1.
Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Prediction
Heading into week 16,New England is in 4th place in the AFC-East, sitting with an overall record of 3-11. In the AFC, they find themsevles in 16th place. Against the spread, the Patriots have a record of 3-10-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -8.1. So far this season, New England games are 30th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 5-9, with an average over/under line for their games set at 40.2 points.
New England’s offense comes in the game as the 29th in scoring at 13.3 PPG. In the first half, the Patriots have struggled with an average of 6.2 points. On defense, the Patriots come into the game ranked 16th in tackles for loss and 15th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 21.4 points per game vs. them along with an average of 308.3 yards per contest.
This week will be Denver’s 15th of the season, leading to on overall record of 7-7. In the AFC-West, the Broncos are in 2nd place and 11th in the AFC. The Broncos have picked up four straight wins at home and have a home record of 4-3. Against the spread, the Broncos have a record of 5-8-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -3.4. Throughout this season, Denver games have averaged 46.8 points, ranking them 8th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 6-8, with an average OU line of 44.6 points.
As they enter week 16, the Broncos offense ranks 14th in the league, averaging 21.7 points per contest. Denver’s defense has come up with 24 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 2nd in the NFL. Heading into week 16, they are allowing 25.1 points per game and 382.4 yards.
With the Broncos being favored by 6.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 21-20 in favor of the Broncos. Our analytics assigns Denver a 50% chance of defeating the Patriots.
Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Betting Tips
- Take the Broncos on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Patriots (+6.5)
- Projecting a combined 41 points, we like the over
Denver Broncos Injury Report
- Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
- Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
- Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
- Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Nik Bonitto – Knee (Questionable)
- Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
- Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
- K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
- Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
New England Patriots Injury Report
- Cole Strange – Knee (Out)
- Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
- Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
- Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
- Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
- Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
- Rhamondre Stevenson – Ankle (Questionable)
- Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
- Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
- Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
- Conor McDermott – Head (Questionable)
- Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster – Ankle (Questionable)
- Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)
- Trent Brown – Ankle/hand/illness (Questionable)
- Hunter Henry – Knee (Questionable)
- Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
