Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Preview
At 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 24th, the Colts travel to take on the Falcons. This NFL week 16 matchup will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta with FOX carrying television coverage.
Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Falcons – Indianapolis Colts odds
Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Colts have faced off vs. the Falcons as the favorite, they have gone 3-0. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Colts and Falcons, the teams have averaged 44 points per game with an over/under record of 1-2. The last three times they have faced off with the Falcons as the home team, the OU record is 1-2.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Colts have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 22 points per game in this stretch.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- The Falcons have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Colts have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction
Taking on the Falcons, the Colts will look to improve on their record of 8-6. This mark has them in 2nd in the AFC-South and 7th in the AFC. Looking at the Colts’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +0.1. This has led to an ATS record of 9-5. So far this season, Indianapolis games are 6th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 10-4, with an average over/under line for their games set at 43.1 points.
On offense, the Colts have beenone of the better teams in the league in the first quarter, ranking 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 24.6 points per game (8th). Going up against the Falcons’ offense, the Colts defense has allowed an average of 24.5 points per game. So far this season, they are 6th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 347.5 yards per contest.
At home, the Falcons have a record of 4-3 this season and are 6-8 overall. When looking at the standings, Atlanta is 10th in the NFC and 3rd in the NFC-South. On the road, Atlanta has gone 2-5 thus far. The Falcons currently hold a 4-10 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is -1.4. Looking at their over/under lines, the Falcons have seen an average line of 39.8 points. Their games have averaged 38.3 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 5-9.
So far this season, the Atlanta offense has been averaging 18.4 points per game, ranking them 23rd in the league. When it comes to turnovers, the Atlanta defense has forced 15 takeaways, putting them 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 19.9 points per game and yielding 311.7 yards.
Coming in as 2 point favorites, our projections have the Colts picking up a 20-18 win. In terms of win probabilities, our analytics gives Indianapolis 57% chance of taking down the Falcons.
Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Tips
- Take the Colts on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Falcons (+2)
- Our NFL model projects 38 points, and we suggest taking the under
Atlanta Falcons Injury Report
- Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
- Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
- Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
- Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
- Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
- Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
- Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
- Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
- Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
- Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
- Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
- Chris Lindstrom – Ankle (Questionable)
- Kentavius Street – Shoulder (Out)
- Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
- David Onyemata – Ankle (Questionable)
- Bud Dupree – Back (Questionable)
Indianapolis Colts Injury Report
- Segun Olubi – Hip (Questionable)
- Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
- Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
- Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
- Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
- Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
- Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
- KJ Hamler – Undisclosed (Out)
- Zack Moss – Arm (Questionable)
- Michael Pittman Jr. – Concussion (Questionable)
- Jonathan Taylor – Thumb (Questionable)
- Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
- Braden Smith – Knee (Questionable)
- Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
- Al-Quadin Muhammad – Suspension (Out)
- Derek Rivers – Undisclosed (Out)
