Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning and Maple Leafs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs will host the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.
This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Lightning. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Tampa Bay Lightning odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Maple Leafs have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head to head matchups vs. the Lightning. As the underdog, the Lightning have performed well against the puck line vs. the Maple Leafs, going 3-0.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 8-2 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
- In their last three home games, Toronto has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 3. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Toronto has an puck line mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their puck line record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
Heading into tonight’s game, the Lightning are 41-26-7 and sit in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, they are in 4th place. On the road this season, Tampa Bay has gone 18-16-3.
Over their last ten games, the Lightning have been one of the hottest teams in the league, going 8-2. In their last three games, they have won two of them.
Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 22nd position in the league. The Lightning went 23-13 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 17-11.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 47 starts this season. So far, his record is 28-17 and he has a save percentage of 0.857%.
Through 74 games, the Maple Leafs sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 43-22-9. Within the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place, trailing the Bruins and Lightning. Over their last 10 games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4 and have won three straight games.
When playing at home this season, Toronto has gone 21-13-3 and have won two straight games at Scotiabank Arena. As the favorite, the Maple Leafs have gone 36-16-7 this season and have won two straight games when favored.
On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 11th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 19th in the NHL.
Goalie Joseph Woll comes into the game having made 20 starts this season. So far, his record is 11-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.549%.
Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Lightning to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Tips
- We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+106)
- The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Morgan Rielly – Upper Body – Probable
- Calle Jarnkrok – Hand – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- Joel Edmundson – Undisclosed – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Mitchell Marner – Ankle – Out
- Timothy Liljegren – Upper Body – Out
Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report
- Brent Seabrook – Shoulder/Back/Hip – Out
- Jonas Johansson – Lower Body – Out
- Mikhail Sergachev – Leg – Out
- Logan Brown – Undisclosed – Out
