Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Penguins versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.
The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are -1.5 goal favorite to win at home against the Penguins. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Pittsburgh Penguins odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Maple Leafs have faced off vs. the Penguins as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. When looking at the last three head-to-head matchups between the Penguins and Maple Leafs, only 3 points per game has separated the teams, with the Maple Leafs going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Across the Penguins last ten road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 3. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 4-6, while going 3-7 straight-up.
- Across the Maple Leafs last ten home games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 5-5, while going 6-4 straight-up.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Toronto has an puck line mark of 4-1 while going 2-3 straight up.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Penguins have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their puck line record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction
With a record of 36-30-11, the Penguins are currently in 9th place in the Eastern Conference and 4th place in the Metropolitan Division. On the road this season, Pittsburgh has gone 15-17-7, including a three-game winning streak.
Over their last ten games, the Penguins have gone 6-4, and they have won four straight games overall. As the underdog, Pittsburgh has gone 13-15-4 this season and has won each of their last four games when not favored.
On the offensive side, the Penguins are scoring an 3 goals per game this season, ranking 19th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 6th in the league. Pittsburgh’s offense comes into the game ranked 29th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 26th in the NHL.
Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Tristan Jarry has started 48 games in this season. His current record is 19-24, and his save percentage stands at 0.858%.
With a record of 44-23-9, the Maple Leafs are currently 3rd in the Atlantic Division and 5th in the Eastern Conference. At home this season, Toronto has gone 21-14-3 and have been favored in 61 of their 76 games.
Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4 and are 4-1 over their last five. Against Eastern Conference opponents, Toronto has gone 20-24 this season.
In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 3rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 8th in the league. Looking at how the Maple Leafs’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 13th in power play goals and 19th in shorthanded goals.
Heading into this matchup vs. Pittsburgh, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 37 games in this season. His current record is 22-6, and his save percentage stands at 0.681%.
With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Tips
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Penguins (+1.5)
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Calle Jarnkrok – Hand – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- Joel Edmundson – Undisclosed – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Timothy Liljegren – Upper Body – Out
Pittsburgh Penguins Injury Report
- Matt Nieto – Lower Body – Out
- Ryan Graves – Upper Body – Out
- Noel Acciari – Undisclosed – Out
- Jansen Harkins – Hand – Out
- John Ludvig – Illness – Questionable
