Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
Planning on watching today’s Penguins and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on SN PT.
The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being the favored team playing at home against the Penguins. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Pittsburgh Penguins odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Maple Leafs have the leg up at 2-1. The Maple Leafs also had the edge vs. the puck line in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 5 goals per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- Across their ten previous road games, Pittsburgh has an puck line mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 2 goals per game.
- Through their last three home games, Toronto has an puck line record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 4 goals per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Maple Leafs have an puck line mark of just 9-1 in their last ten games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
- The last ten games that Pittsburgh was favored, they have an puck line mark of 3-7 while going 4-6 straight up.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction
As they prepare to face Toronto, the Penguins currently possess a 13-12-3 record. When they are favored, their record stands at 8-8-3, while as underdogs, it is 5-4-0. On the road, they have gone 7-6-2 this season and are 6-6-1 at home.
For their offensive performance, the Penguins come in averaging 2.9 goals per game this season, which is 25th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 11th in the league. Coming into the game, the Penguins have 7-6 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 6-6.
Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Tristan Jarry has started 21 games in this season. His current record is 9-10, and his save percentage stands at 0.9%.
Coming into their game vs. Pittsburgh, the Maple Leafs are 15-7-6. They are 13-7-5 when favored and 2-0-1 as the underdog. For away games this season, they have a 7-2-4 record, while they are 8-5-2 when playing at home.
When looking at their offense, the Maple Leafs have an average of 3.5 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 9th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 14th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 6-4 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 8-3 record.
Goalie Martin Jones gets the start and has made one start this season. His record at this point is 2-0, and his save percentage is 0.167%.
With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Tips
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Penguins (+1.5)
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Mark Giordano – Finger – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Ryan Reaves – Leg – Questionable
- Joseph Woll – Ankle – Out
- Timothy Liljegren – Ankle – Out
- Matthew Knies – Illness – Questionable
Pittsburgh Penguins Injury Report
- Matt Nieto – Lower Body – Out
- Rickard Rakell – Upper Body – Out
- Chad Ruhwedel – Lower Body – Out
- Bryan Rust – Upper Body – Out
- Noel Acciari – Lower Body – Out
