Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Preview
Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Senators versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.
The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 7 goals and the Maple Leafs are the favorite to win at home vs. the Senators. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Ottawa Senators odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three times the Maple Leafs and Senators have played each other, Toronto has the edge with a record of 2-1. However, the average scoring differential in these matchups is dead even with each team averaging 3 goals per game.
- Although Ottawa has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 5-5. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
- Across their last three home contests, Toronto has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 4 goals per game.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Maple Leafs have gone 9-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Senators have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 2-8.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction
Going into the game against Toronto, the Senators hold a 12-17-0 record. They have a 7-8-0 record when favored and 5-9-0 as underdogs. On the road, they have gone 3-8-0 this season and are 9-9-0 at home.
On the offensive side, the Senators are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 20th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 28th in the league. Ottawa’s offense is currently ranked 18th in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 28th in the league.
Goalie Joonas Korpisalo gets the start and has made 18 starts this season. His record at this point is 6-11, and his save percentage is 0.8061224489795918%.
Before their matchup against Ottawa, the Maple Leafs arrive with a 17-8-6 record. They hold a 15-7-5 record when considered the favorites and 2-1-1 when seen as the underdogs. On the road, they have gone 8-3-4 this season and are 9-5-2 at home.
For their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs come in averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, which is 7th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 16th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 13th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 11th in the NHL.
Heading into this matchup vs. Ottawa, goalie Martin Jones has started four games in this season. His current record is 4-1, and his save percentage stands at 0.336734693877551%.
Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Senators to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Tips
- We like the Senators on the moneyline (+140)
- The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Mark Giordano – Finger – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Ryan Reaves – Leg – Out
- Joseph Woll – Ankle – Out
Ottawa Senators Injury Report
- Thomas Chabot – Lower Body – Out
- Rourke Chartier – Upper Body – Out
- Mathieu Joseph – Lower Body – Out
- Shane Pinto – Suspension – Out
