Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Preview
Betting on today’s Red Wings and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+.
The over/under for this game is set at 6.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 against the Red Wings in a Atlantic division matchup. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Detroit Red Wings odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over the last three times that the Maple Leafs have hosted the Red Wings, they have gone 2-1. In the last five head to head games between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs, the average combined goal total is 5 goals per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 1-4.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Detroit has an puck line record of 4-1 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- Although Toronto has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 4-6. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 7-3.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Red Wings have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction
With just three games remaining in the regular season, the Red Wings are in 10th place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, Detroit is in 5th place with a record of 38-33-9. On the road this season, the Red Wings have gone 16-20-4.
Over their last ten games, the Red Wings have gone just 3-7 and have lost their last two games. As the underdog this season, Detroit has gone 22-27-5, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five games.
On offense, the Red Wings are averaging 3.3 goals per game which is 10th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 24th in the league. Detroit’s offense comes into the game ranked 7th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the NHL.
Entering the game, goalie Alex Lyon has started 42 games this season. His current record stands at 20-18, and his save percentage is 0.807%.
With a record of 46-24-9, the Maple Leafs currently sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. At home this year, Toronto is 22-15-3 and has been favored in 64 of their 79 games.
Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs are 6-4, and they have won two of their last three. On the year, Toronto has been favored in 39 of their 64 games as the favorite.
Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 6th position in the league. Coming into the game, the Maple Leafs have a 24-13 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 20-9.
Goalie Ilya Samsonov comes into the game having made 39 starts this season. So far, his record is 23-7 and he has a save percentage of 0.702%.
Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Red Wings winning this game by a score of 4-3.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Betting Tips
- We like the Red Wings on the moneyline (+150)
- The Red Wings are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Calle Jarnkrok – Hand – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Max Domi – Undisclosed – Questionable
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Timothy Liljegren – Upper Body – Questionable
Detroit Red Wings Injury Report
- Andrew Copp – Face – Questionable
- Michael Rasmussen – Upper Body – Questionable
