Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Preview
The Stars and Maple Leafs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs will host the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.
The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being the favored by -1.5 goals against the Stars. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Dallas Stars odds
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Dallas and Toronto, the Maple Leafs have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 2 goals per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Toronto is averaging 3 goals compared to Dallas at 1.
- Through their last three road contests, the Stars offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Dallas posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
- In their last five games at home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
- The last three games that Toronto was the underdog, they have an puck line mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Stars have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Prediction
On the road this season, the Dallas Stars have been excellent, going 15-5-4. Overall, the Stars are 31-13-6, which has them in 1st place in the Central Division. In the Western Conference, Dallas is in 2nd place.
Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 7-3 and have won four straight games. When playing other teams in the Western Conference, Dallas has gone 18-12 this season.
Offensively, the Stars come into the game at 3.7 goals per contest placing 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 14th position in the league. This season, the Stars are 18-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 13-5 record.
Goalie Scott Wedgewood comes into the game having made 21 starts this season. So far, his record is 13-4 and he has a save percentage of 0.66%.
At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 11-10-2, and they have been favored in 39 of their 48 games. In the Eastern Conference, they are in sixth place and have gone 10-16 against other teams in the conference.
Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 4-6, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games. On the season, they are 25-15-8, and in the Atlantic Division, they are in fourth place.
When looking at their offense, the Maple Leafs have an average of 3.4 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 6th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 13-7 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 11-7.
Goalie Martin Jones comes into the game having made 15 starts this season. So far, his record is 9-6 and he has a save percentage of 0.495%.
Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Betting Tips
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Stars (+1.5)
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Calle Jarnkrok – Hand – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Joseph Woll – Ankle – Out
- David Kampf – Undisclosed – Out
Dallas Stars Injury Report
- Jerad Rosburg – Undisclosed – Out
