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toronto maple leafs vs boston bruins 03/04/2024 sport preview

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Betting Tips 3/4/2024

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins 3/4/2024
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bruins (+1.5)
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Preview

Planning on watching today’s Bruins and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+.

The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being favored by -1.5 at home against the Bruins. Check out BetCoco for Toronto Maple Leafs – Boston Bruins odds

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Bruins have been dominant over the Maple Leafs, going 5-0 in their last five head to head games. The last three times that the Maple Leafs have hosted the Bruins, the over/under record is 1-2 with the teams combining for an average of 5 goals. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 1-2.

  • Although Boston has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 3-7. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, Toronto has an puck line mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-1 while averaging 4 goals per game.
  • Toronto has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 puck line in their last three games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, Boston has an puck line mark of 0-5 while going 2-3 straight up.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction

Today, the Bruins head to Toronto to face the Maple Leafs. This season, Boston has gone 35-13-14 and sits in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, the Bruins are in 2nd place, and they have gone 19-14 against conference opponents.

On the road, Boston has a record of 16-6-9, and they have gone 5-0-3 as the underdog this year. Over their last ten games, the Bruins have gone just 3-7, and they have lost four of their last five games. For the year, Boston has been the favorite in 54 of their 62 games.

On offense, the Bruins are averaging 3.3 goals per game which is 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 17th in the league. Looking at how the Bruins’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 11th in power play goals and 16th in shorthanded goals.

Goalie Jeremy Swayman gets the start and has made 33 starts this season. His record at this point is 19-6, and his save percentage is 0.796%.

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 17-11-2, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak at home. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is in 4th place, and they have gone 12-17 against other teams in the East. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 9-1, and they have won four of their last five games.

So far this year, Toronto has been favored in 50 of their 60 games, and they have gone 30-13-7 in those games. As the favorite, the Maple Leafs have won two straight games, and they have gone 35-17-8 overall this season. Against teams in the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place with a record of 6-9.

When looking at their offense, the Maple Leafs have an average of 3.7 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 6th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 19-8 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 14-8.

Goalie Joseph Woll gets the start and has made 14 starts this season. His record at this point is 9-5, and his save percentage is 0.509%.

With a 1.5-goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Maple Leafs to secure a 4-3 victory.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Betting Tips

  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bruins (+1.5)
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

  • Mark Giordano – Head – Out
  • Matt Murray – Hip – Out
  • John Klingberg – Hip – Out
  • Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
  • Conor Timmins – Illness – Out
  • Ilya Lyubushkin – Head – Questionable

Boston Bruins Injury Report

  • Milan Lucic – Lower Body/Personal – Out
  • Pavel Zacha – Lower Body – Questionable
  • Hampus Lindholm – Lower Body – Out
  • Matt Grzelcyk – Undisclosed – Questionable
  • Justin Brazeau – Undisclosed – Questionable
  • Matthew Poitras – Shoulder – Out

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