Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Maple Leafs and Lightning. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Lightning at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. Get ready to place your bets!
The over/under for this game is set at 6.5 goals, and the Lightning are favored by -1.5 against the Maple Leafs in a Atlantic division matchup. Check out BetCoco for Tampa Bay Lightning – Toronto Maple Leafs odds
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Maple Leafs have the edge in their recent matchups against Tampa Bay, going 2-1. In the last three games Toronto is averaging 3 goals per game compared to 4 for the Lightning.
- Across the Maple Leafs last ten road games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 6-4, while going 6-4 straight-up.
- Across the Lightning last ten home games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 5-5, while going 6-4 straight-up.
- As the betting underdog, the Lightning have an puck line record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
- As the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
As the fifth seed in the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 46-25-10 overall this season. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in third place with an 11-14 record. On the road, the Maple Leafs have gone 24-10-6 this year.
Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4 and are 2-3 in their last five games. In their last three games, Toronto has lost all three matchups.
The Maple Leafs come into the game scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game, putting them 2nd in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 7th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 24-13 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 20-10 record.
Goalie Martin Jones gets the start and has made 18 starts this season. His record at this point is 11-7, and his save percentage is 0.443%.
At home this season, the Lightning have gone 24-11-5 and have been favored in 50 of their 81 games. Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 5-5 and has lost three straight games. In the Eastern Conference standings, the Lightning are in 6th place and 4th in the Atlantic Division.
So far this season, Tampa Bay has gone 44-29-8 overall, 25-24 against Eastern Conference opponents, and 11-14 against Atlantic Division teams.
Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 23rd position in the league. This season, the Lightning have a 25-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 18-12 record.
Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 52 games in this season. His current record is 30-20, and his save percentage stands at 0.887%.
Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Maple Leafs winning this game by a score of 4-3.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Tips
- We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+109)
- The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report
- Haydn Fleury – Undisclosed – Questionable
- Brent Seabrook – Shoulder/Back/Hip – Out
- Jonas Johansson – Lower Body – Questionable
- Tyler Motte – Lower Body – Questionable
- Mikhail Sergachev – Leg – Out
- Logan Brown – Undisclosed – Out
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Calle Jarnkrok – Hand – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Max Domi – Undisclosed – Questionable
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Bobby McMann – Lower Body – Out
