Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Flyers face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers are hosting the game at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA.
The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorite in this Eastern conference matchup against Flyers. The over/under for the game is set at 6 goals. Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Flyers – Toronto Maple Leafs odds
Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Philadelphia and Toronto, the Maple Leafs have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 2 goals per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Toronto is averaging 4 goals compared to Philadelphia at 2.
- Although Toronto has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs. the puck line going 1-2. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.
- Through their last ten home games, Philadelphia has an puck line record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 3 goals per game.
- Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Flyers have a strong record vs the puck line going 4-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
- As the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
With a record of 37-19-8, the Maple Leafs are currently in 5th place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place. On the road, the Maple Leafs have gone 19-7-6 this season.
Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 7-3 and they have won two straight games when they have been favored. Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Maple Leafs have gone 14-19 this year.
Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 10th position in the league. Coming into the game, the Maple Leafs have a 20-10 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 15-8.
Heading into this matchup vs. Philadelphia, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 30 games in this season. His current record is 17-5, and his save percentage stands at 0.642%.
With a record of 34-24-8, the Flyers are currently sitting in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They have gone 15-20 against other teams in the East and 8-11 against divisional opponents. Over their last ten games, Philadelphia has gone 5-5, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five contests.
At home this season, the Flyers have gone 17-13-3, and they have gone 21-18-6 as the underdog. Over their last three games, Philadelphia has gone 2-1.
On offense, the Flyers are averaging 2.9 goals per game which is 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 2nd in the league. This season, the Flyers have a 24-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 8-10 record.
Goalie Samuel Ersson gets the start and has made 36 starts this season. His record at this point is 19-13, and his save percentage is 0.716%.
Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Flyers winning this game by a score of 4-3.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Tips
- We like the Flyers on the moneyline (+112)
- The Flyers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under
Philadelphia Flyers Injury Report
- Ryan Ellis – Back – Out
- Rasmus Ristolainen – Upper Body – Out
- Nick Seeler – Lower Body – Out
- Carter Hart – Personal – Out
- Jamie Drysdale – Upper Body – Out
Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report
- Mark Giordano – Head – Out
- Matt Murray – Hip – Out
- John Klingberg – Hip – Out
- Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
- Mitchell Marner – Lower Body – Doubtful
- Conor Timmins – Illness – Out
