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new york islanders vs toronto maple leafs 12/11/2023 sport preview

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Betting Tips 12/11/2023

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New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs 12/11/2023:
  • We like the Islanders on the moneyline (+103)
  • The Islanders are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Islanders face off at 7:00 ET on MSGS. The Islanders are hosting the game at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.

In this Eastern matchup, the Maple Leafs are the betting favorite against Islanders. The over/under for the game is 6 goals. Check out BetCoco for New York Islanders – Toronto Maple Leafs odds

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Islanders are averaging 4 goals per game, compared to the Maple Leafs at 3. These figures have led to New York posting a record of 2-1.

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 0-3 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Islanders have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Islanders have an puck line record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
  • Against the spread, the Maple Leafs have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-0 straight up.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

As they prepare to face New York, the Maple Leafs currently possess a 14-6-4 record. When they are favored, their record stands at 13-6-3, while as underdogs, it is 1-0-1. For away games this season, they have a 6-2-3 record, while they are 8-4-1 when playing at home.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, putting them in the 19th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 27th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 6-3 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 7-3 record.

Heading into this matchup vs. New York, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 11 games in this season. His current record is 5-1, and his save percentage stands at 88.6%.

The Islanders are set to face Toronto with a 12-7-7 record. Their track record as favorites is 7-2-3, while they maintain 5-5-4 when considered underdogs. On the road, they have gone 6-4-2 this season and are 6-3-5 at home.

Offensively, the Islanders come into the game at 3 goals per contest placing 23rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 25th position in the league. In terms of the Islanders’ offense during power plays, they are 17th in power play goals and 7th in shorthanded goals.

Goalie Ilya Sorokin gets the start and has made 17 starts this season. His record at this point is 7-4, and his save percentage is 91.3%.

Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Islanders.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Tips

  • We like the Islanders on the moneyline (+103)
  • The Islanders are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

New York Islanders Injury Report

  • Matt Martin – Upper Body – Questionable
  • Adam Pelech – Upper Body – Out
  • Ryan Pulock – Lower Body – Out
  • Sebastian Aho – Upper Body – Out

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

  • Mark Giordano – Finger – Out
  • Matt Murray – Hip – Out
  • John Klingberg – Hip – Out
  • Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
  • Joseph Woll – Ankle – Out
  • William Lagesson – Illness – Questionable
  • Timothy Liljegren – Ankle – Out

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