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colorado avalanche vs tampa bay lightning 11/27/2023 sport preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Betting Tips 11/27/2023

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Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning 11/27/2023:
  • We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+118)
  • The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

Betting on today’s Lightning and Avalanche game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Avalanche hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+.

The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Avalanche being the favored team playing at home against the Lightning. Check out BetCoco for Colorado Avalanche – Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Lightning and Avalanche did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Lightning have a record of 2-1. The Lightning also had the edge vs. the puck line in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 4 goals per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

  • Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 6-4. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Avalanche offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Colorado posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 8-2.
  • The last three games that Tampa Bay was favored, they have an puck line mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Lightning are set to face Colorado with a 10-6-5 record. Their track record as favorites is 5-4-1, while they maintain 5-2-4 when considered underdogs. When they have hit the road, they have a 4-4-2 record this season, and they are 6-2-3 at home.

On offense, the Lightning are averaging 3.7 goals per game which is 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 15th in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense is currently ranked 1st in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 27th in the league.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy gets the start and has made one start this season. His record at this point is 1-0, and his save percentage is 91.7%.

Before their matchup against the Lightning, the Avalanche have an overall record of 14-6-0 this season. On the road, they have gone 7-4-0 this season and are 7-2-0 at home.

On the offensive side, the Avalanche are scoring an 3.8 goals per game this season, ranking 4th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 9th in the league. Colorado’s offense comes into the game ranked 12th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 4th in the NHL.

Goalie Alexandar Georgiev comes into the game having made 17 starts this season. So far, his record is 12-5 and he has a save percentage of 89.2%.

Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Lightning.

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Tips

  • We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+118)
  • The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

Colorado Avalanche Injury Report

  • Chris Wagner – Achilles – Out
  • Gabriel Landeskog – Knee – Out
  • Artturi Lehkonen – Upper Body – Out
  • Samuel Girard – Personal – Out
  • Pavel Francouz – Groin – Out
  • Jean-Luc Foudy – Lower Body – Out

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report

  • Conor Sheary – Upper Body – Out
  • Brent Seabrook – Shoulder/Back/Hip – Out
  • Logan Brown – Undisclosed – Out

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