Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Preview
At 6:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-557) will take on the Washington Wizards (+412) in a Southeast Division matchup. The Miami Heat (40-33) are currently 7th in the Eastern Conference, while the Washington Wizards (14-60) are 14th.
Washington is currently on a two-game losing streak and is a 10.5-point underdog. The over/under line for this game is 217 points. You can watch this game on MNMT.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Wizards – Miami Heat odds
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Heat are averaging 113 points per game, compared to the Wizards at 108. These figures have led to Miami posting a record of 2-1.
- Miami has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 102 points per game while allowing 101. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- In their last three games at home, the Wizards have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 108 points per game in this stretch.
- As the betting underdog, the Wizards have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Washington posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami is favored by 10.5 points in today’s game against the Wizards. This season, the Heat have been favored in 41 of their 73 games and have a record of 29-12 in those games.
Against the spread, Miami has covered in two straight games and has an overall ATS record of 34-36. On the road, they are 20-14 ATS compared to 14-22 ATS at home.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 27-46, and 52 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 217. This year, their games have averaged 218.3 points per game.
The Heat are coming off a dominant 142-82 win over the Trail Blazers. They easily covered the spread as 14.5-point favorites and the O/U line for that game was 208.5.
In the Eastern Conference standings, Miami is currently in 7th place with a record of 40-33. Within the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place with a record of 11-3 against division opponents and 27-18 against the East.
When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 27th in the NBA at 109.8 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.1 points per game.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA average in just 37% of their games. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.
One area where the Heat have been strong is getting to the free-throw line. They are 10th in the NBA in free throws made per game at 17.9.
The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 4th in the league, allowing an average of 108.5 points per contest. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 11.7 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.4 rejections per game.
Washington’s ATS record as the underdog is 32-34 this season, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 10.5 points against the Heat. At home, the Wizards are 11-24 ATS, while going 22-16 ATS on the road.
The Wizards are 12-55 as the underdog this season and have an average scoring differential of -10.2 points per game in those games. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently 14th with a record of 14-60.
In their most recent game against the Pistons, the Wizards lost by a score of 96-87. The O/U line for that game was 229.5, and they were favored by 3.5 points. Washington’s record vs. the spread this season is 33-40.
On average, Washington’s games have finished with 236.4 points per game, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 217. The team’s O/U record for the season is 36-38.
At first glance, the Wizards’ scoring numbers this season are not impressive. They are 17th in the league in points per game at 113.4. However, when playing at home, they are averaging 112.6 points per game (21st).
Washington’s offensive style is reflected in their pace, as they lead the NBA with 102.2 possessions per game. They have also been a strong team inside the arc, ranking 6th in two-point field goals made.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Wizards are below average. They are 29th in three-point shooting percentage at 34% and 21st in made threes per game (12.2).
On defense, the Wizards are ranked 30th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 67.6% of their games. Opponents are hitting 57.4% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.0% of their three-point attempts.
With the Heat being favored by 10.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 113-110 in favor of the Heat.
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Wizards (+10.5)
- Projecting a combined 223 points, we like the over
Washington Wizards Injury Report
- Richaun Holmes – Toe – Questionable
- Tyus Jones – Back – Out
- Kyle Kuzma – Heel – Questionable
- Landry Shamet – Calf – Out
- Isaiah Livers – Hip – Out
- Eugene Omoruyi – Ankle – Out
- Bilal Coulibaly – Wrist – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Probable
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Out
- Nikola Jovic – Knee – Probable
