Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Preview
At 7:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-335) will travel to take on the Washington Wizards (+266) in a Southeast Division matchup. The Heat are currently favored by 8, and the over/under line is set at 229.5.
Miami comes into the game with a record of 25-23, which has them in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. Washington is just 9-38 and sits in 14th place in the East.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Wizards – Miami Heat odds
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Heat are averaging 113 points per game, compared to the Wizards at 111. These figures have led to Miami posting a record of 2-1.
- Across their five previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 97 points per game.
- Although Washington has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 113 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Miami has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 5-5 straight up.
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 20-28, and the team has hit the under in two straight games. On average, their games have finished with 222 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 229.5.
In Miami’s last game, they defeated the Kings by a score of 115-106. The O/U line for that game was 228 points, giving them a 9-point win vs. the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
As the favorite this season, Miami is 19-10 and 12-15 ATS. The team has been favored in 29 of their 48 games. Against the spread on the road, they are 11-11.
Currently, the Heat are 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 25-23. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place. On the road, Miami is 12-12 compared to 13-11 at home.
The Heat have been below the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games this season. Overall, they are averaging 110.5 points per game (27th). On the road, Miami is scoring 107.2 points per game (29th).
When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 27th in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game.
One area where Miami has been strong is getting to the free-throw line. They are 12th in free throw attempts and are making an average of 19.2 free throws per game (6th).
This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 7th position in the league while permitting an average of 111.6 points per contest. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.2% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.
Washington’s record as the underdog this season is 9-35, and they are currently 8-point underdogs against the Heat. In their last three games as the underdog, the Wizards have failed to cover the spread.
In terms of their ATS record, Washington is 22-25 overall and 6-16 at home. The team has also failed to cover the spread in their last three home games. On the road, the Wizards are 16-9 ATS.
Washington’s O/U record for the season is 22-25, and the under has hit in their last six games. Today’s O/U line of 229.5 is lower than their season average of 239 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Wizards lost to the Clippers by a score of 125-109. The O/U line for that game was 235.5, and Washington was a 9.5-point underdog going into the game.
Overall, the Wizards are 9-38 this season, which is 14th in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Washington is 6-27 and 2-9 against their division. On the road, the Wizards are 6-19 compared to 3-19 at home.
So far this season, the Wizards have been one of the most up-tempo teams in the NBA, leading the league in pace at 102.3 possessions per game. At home, they are averaging 115.3 points per game, which is 18th in the league.
Overall, the Wizards are 16th in the NBA in scoring at 115 points per game. They have outscored the league average in 53.2% of their games so far this season.
When it comes to shooting, Washington is 15th in field goal percentage at 47%. However, they have struggled from three-point range, hitting just 35% of their attempts (26th).
Coming into the game, the Wizards’ defense is giving up an average of 124.0 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 72.3% of their games. Inside the arc, the Wizards defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.5% and 37.5% from three-point territory.
In spite of being 8 point underdogs, we anticipate the Wizards winning this one 114-113.
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- We like the Wizards on the moneyline (+266)
- The Wizards are also our pick on the spread at +8
- Our NBA model projects 227 points, and we suggest taking the under
Washington Wizards Injury Report
- Marvin Bagley III – Back – Questionable
- Landry Shamet – Illness – Questionable
- Jordan Poole – Illness – Questionable
- Isaiah Livers – Hip – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Duncan Robinson – Concussion – Out
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
