Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-134) will travel to take on the Toronto Raptors (+112) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are favored by 2.5 and have won three straight games, while the Raptors have lost four in a row and are 12th in the East.
This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and can be seen on SN. The over/under line for this game is 228 points.
Check out BetCoco for Toronto Raptors – Miami Heat odds
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over the last three times that the Raptors have hosted the Heat, they have gone 2-1. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Raptors and Heat, the Raptors hold the edge with an ATS record of 6-4.
- Across their three previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 101 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Toronto has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 125 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 6-3-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami is 19-19 against the spread this season, going 11-8 ATS on the road and 8-11 ATS at home. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points today and have a 4-game ATS win streak as the favorite.
In their last game against the Nets, the Heat won 96-95 as 1-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 221.5, and the teams combined for just 191 points.
Miami has won three straight games and is 24-16 overall, which is good for 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 18-10 and 9-0 against teams in their division.
The Heat’s O/U record for the season is 18-22, and the under has hit in their last three games. Today’s O/U line of 228 is higher than their season average of 222.7.
In the Eastern Conference, Miami is the 1st place team in the Southeast Division. They have been favored in 23 of their 40 games this season and have a record of 18-5 as the favorite.
On the road this season, the Miami Heat are averaging 108.6 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. Overall, they are 25th in scoring at 111.9 points per game.
So far this season, the Heat have scored below the NBA scoring average in 60% of their games. In terms of pace, Miami is 27th in the league with an average of 96.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 20th in field goal percentage at 46%. However, they are one of the most efficient three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 38% of their attempts from beyond the arc (3rd).
In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 2nd in the NBA by allowing 110.6 points per game. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.8% and 35.9% from three-point territory.
The Raptors are 15-25 on the season and have lost four straight games. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 12th place and 5th in the Atlantic Division.
Toronto’s ATS record for the season is 20-20, and they have gone 9-10 ATS at home. As the underdog, they are 7-18 and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games.
This season, the Raptors have been the underdog in 25 of their 40 games. As the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -4.7 points per game. Today, they are getting 2.5 points as the underdog.
In their last game, the Raptors lost to the Celtics by a score of 105-96. The O/U line for that game was 238.5, and they were 6.5-point underdogs going into the game.
On average, the Raptors’ games have finished with 231.8 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 228. So far this season, their games have averaged an O/U line of 227.1, and they have a record of 23-16-1.
At home, the Raptors are averaging 112.3 points per game (25th) compared to 115 points overall (17th). In terms of scoring, they are below the NBA average in 52.5% of their games. Toronto is 10th in field goal percentage (48%) and 21st in true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Raptors are 26th in made threes (11.7) and 23rd in three-point percentage (35%). In terms of pace, they are 16th in the league with 99 possessions per game.
Overall, Toronto is 3rd in assists (29.4) and 9th in offensive rebounds (11.2). In terms of free throws, they are 22nd in made free throws (16.7) and 17th in free throw attempts (22.6).
On defense, the Raptors come into the game ranked 18th in the league in points allowed at 116.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 125.3 points per contest (8th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Raptors are forcing 12.7 per game, which is 11th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 19th in blocked shots at 4.9 per game.
Even though they are 2.5 point underdogs, we see the Raptors winning this game by a score of 114-112.
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- We like the Raptors on the moneyline (+112)
- The Raptors are also our pick on the spread at +2.5
- Our NBA model projects 226 points, and we suggest taking the under
Toronto Raptors Injury Report
- Otto Porter Jr. – Knee – Out
- Jakob Poeltl – Ankle – Out
- Gary Trent Jr. – Illness – Questionable
- Christian Koloko – Illness – Out
- Gradey Dick – Thumb – Questionable
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Knee – Out
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Groin – Out
