San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview
Planning on watching today’s Bucks and Spurs game? Catch the action at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX, as the Spurs hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on TNT.
In this non-conference matchup, the Bucks are the betting favorite against the Spurs. The over/under for the game is 249 points. Check out BetCoco for San Antonio Spurs – Milwaukee Bucks odds
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the Spurs, the Bucks have put together a record of 3-2. In the last five head to head games between the Bucks and Spurs, the average combined point total is 220 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Bucks offense has averaged 127 points per game while allowing an average of 120. Milwaukee posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 7-3 ATS.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, San Antonio has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- The last ten games that San Antonio was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 2-8 straight up.
- As the betting favorite, the Bucks have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Milwaukee posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
As the Bucks take on the Spurs, they will look to snap a couple of streaks. First, they have dropped two straight games overall, and they have also failed to cover the spread in two straight games. For the season, they are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 24-10.
Milwaukee has put together a perfect 4-0 record against non-conference teams this season. On the road, the Bucks have gone 8-7 compared to 16-3 at home. They will hope to improve on their average scoring differential of +3.7 points per game on the road, but they are favored by 9.5 today.
Against the spread, Milwaukee is 15-19 for the season. When looking at their road ATS record, it sits at 8-7. Their over/under record coming in is 22-12, and 29 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 249. The Bucks’ average over/under line for the season is 238.5.
So far, the Bucks have an average scoring differential of +5.3 as the favorite (this season’s average spread is -9.5). Their average scoring margin as the favorite is currently +6.2 points per game on the road.
In their most recent game, the Bucks put up 130 points, which is higher than their season average of 124.8 PPG. Leading the team in scoring is Giannis Antetokounmpo, who comes into today’s game averaging 30.8 PPG. Damian Lillard is also averaging 25.4 PPG this season.
Facing San Antonio, the Bucks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 119.7 points allowed per game (24th). In their previous game, the Bucks’ defense struggled against the Pacers, giving up 142 points on a field goal percentage of 50%.
With a record of 5-28, the Spurs will look to pull off the upset as 9.5-point underdogs vs. the Bucks. When playing teams outside of the Western Conference, San Antonio has gone 0-9 this season.
Against the spread, the Spurs have struggled all season and have gone just 13-20. As the underdog, San Antonio has gone on an ATS losing streak of three and have been the underdog in 32 of their 33 games.
Today’s over/under line of 249 is slightly higher than their average over/under line of 232.4. This season, all of their games have had lower over/under lines than 249, giving them an over/under record of 21-12.
In their last game, the Spurs fell to the Grizzlies by a score of 106-98. They were able to keep it close as 11-point underdogs.
Compared to their season average of 110.9 points per game, the Spurs did not perform well. They only managed to score 98 points and shot 42.4% from the field in their most recent game against the Grizzlies. The team’s leading scorer is Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging 18.9 PPG. Keldon Johnson is also averaging 17.6 PPG.
The Spurs’ defense is presently ranked 27th in the league, allowing an average of 122.8 points per contest. The San Antonio defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.0% of their field goal attempts vs. San Antonio.
Our prediction for this game is that the Bucks will come out on top with a projected score of 115-104.
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips
- Take the Bucks on the moneyline
- The Bucks should also cover at -9.5
- Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
- Zach Collins – Ankle – Out
- Charles Bassey – Left Knee – Out
- Malaki Branham – Ankle – Doubtful
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Jae Crowder – Groin – Out
- AJ Green – Nasal Fracture – Out