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San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips 11/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips 11/12/2023

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San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat 11/12/2023
  • Take the Heat on the moneyline
  • The Heat should also cover at -1.5
  • Our NBA model projects 214 points, and we suggest taking the under

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Preview

Planning on watching today’s Heat and Spurs game? Catch the action at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX, as the Spurs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on BSSW.

The Heat are the favored team in this non-conference contest against the Spurs. The game’s over/under currently sits at 225.5 points. Check out BetCoco for San Antonio Spurs – Miami Heat odds

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last five times, the Heat have faced off against the Spurs on the road, they are above .500 at 4-1. In the last five head to head games between the Heat and Spurs, the average combined point total is 226 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 3-2.

  • The Heat are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Across the Spurs last five home games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 127. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Miami has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction

Coming into today’s matchup, the Heat will be looking to build on their current four game winning streak and their overall record is currently 5-4. Across nine games, the Heat have a 3-3 record when facing Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 2-1 record in non-conference games.

The Heat are riding a two game ATS win streak and currently possess an overall ATS record of 3-6. During this season, Miami has a 1-4 record against the spread as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs.

The over/under record for Miami is currently 3-6-0, and they have witnessed three consecutive games staying below the over/under lines. Across the games they’ve played, the combined scoring average is 205.0 points per game, with an average over/under line of 221.2.

Miami is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 117 points versus the Hawks. This output is higher than their season-average of 108.6 points per game. In terms of offense, the Heat have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 20th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 5th in percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 110.0 points per contest.

On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.0% and allowing 37.1% from beyond the arc.

Facing the Heat, the Spurs currently hold an overall record of 3-6 and aim to end their four game losing streak. During their nine games, the Spurs have gone 3-3 against teams in the Western Conference and 0-3 in non-conference matchups.

San Antonio comes in with an overall ATS record of 4-5 so far this season. When playing on the road, the Spurs hold an ATS record of 2-3 in contrast to a 2-2 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Spurs have seen over half of their games surpassing the over/under lines, resulting in an over/under record of 8-1-0. In their games, the average over/under line is 227.6, and they maintain a 10.3 differential vs. the over/under line this season.

The Spurs’ offense finished with 110 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 113 points per contest. Victor Wembanyama is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Keldon Johnson brings a PPG average of 14.8 into the game.

Coming into the game, the Spurs will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 124.9 points per game (29th).

Opponents are hitting 57.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 40.6% of their three-point attempts.

Our projections indicate that the Heat should come out top with a projected score of 110-104.

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Betting Tips

  • Take the Heat on the moneyline
  • The Heat should also cover at -1.5
  • Our NBA model projects 214 points, and we suggest taking the under

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

  • Tre Jones – Hamstring – Questionable

Miami Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler – Personal – Questionable
  • Tyler Herro – Ankle – Out
  • Caleb Martin – Knee – Questionable

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