Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Preview
The Miami Heat (31-25) will travel to take on the Sacramento Kings (33-23) in a non-conference matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 225.5.
This game will take place at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, and it will tip off at 10:00 ET. NBCS will have the television coverage for this contest.
Check out BetCoco for Sacramento Kings – Miami Heat odds
Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Heat are averaging 112 points per game, compared to the Kings at 110. These figures have led to Miami posting a record of 2-1.
- Across their last five road contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-1-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 111 points per game.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Sacramento has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Kings have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami comes into today’s game as the 7.5-point underdog. They have covered the spread in their last six games and have an ATS record of 26-27 for the season. On the road, they are 14-11 against the spread.
The Heat have won three straight games and are currently 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 31-25. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
In Miami’s last game, they defeated the Pelicans by a score of 106-95. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and they were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game.
This season, Miami has an average O/U record of 21-35. Today’s O/U line of 225.5 is lower than their season average of 222.7. The under has hit in their last five games.
Against Eastern Conference teams, Miami is 22-16 compared to 9-9 against the West. On the road, they are 16-12 compared to 15-13 at home.
This season, the Heat have been a below-average offensive team, ranking 27th in the league in scoring at 110.5 points per game. On the road, they have averaged 107.9 points per game.
When it comes to shooting, Miami is 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. They have also struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking 14th in free throw attempts.
From beyond the arc, the Heat are 16th in three-pointers made per game at 12.4. Overall, they are 9th in three-point shooting at 37%.
Miami’s defense has been playing well, ranking 4th in the NBA with 110.1 points allowed per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 26th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.0 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.3%.
Today, the Kings are looking to extend their winning streak to four games as they host the Heat. Sacramento is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 33-23.
In games against other Western Conference teams, the Kings are 22-15 compared to 11-8 against the East. In their division, they are 7-6.
In their last game, the Kings defeated the Clippers by a score of 123-107. Sacramento was also able to cover the spread as 4-point underdogs.
This season, the Kings have an ATS record of 29-27 and are 19-20 ATS as the favorite. At home, they are 11-14 ATS compared to 18-13 on the road.
In their games this season, Sacramento has averaged 236.4 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 225.5. The Kings have a season-long O/U record of 29-26-1.
The Kings have been one of the NBA’s most potent offenses this season, averaging 118.6 points per game (7th). At home, they have been even better, scoring 122.0 points per game.
In terms of pace, Sacramento is 9th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game. This has led to them being one of the top three-point shooting teams, as they are 4th in made threes (14.8 per game) and 3rd in attempts (39.8 per game).
Overall, the Kings are 11th in field goal percentage (48%), but they have been one of the league’s most efficient teams inside the arc, ranking 4th in two-point shooting percentage (57%).
Coming into the game, the Kings’ defense is giving up an average of 117.8 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 55.4% of their games. Sacramento’s defense is currently forcing 12.7 turnovers per game, which is 16th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 28th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.9 rejections per game.
With a 7.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Kings to secure a 120-117 victory.
Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- Take the Kings on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Heat (+7.5)
- Projecting a combined 237 points, we like the over
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Alex Len – Illness – Out
- Sasha Vezenkov – Ankle – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler – Suspension – Out
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Knee – Questionable
- Thomas Bryant – Suspension – Out
- Tyler Herro – Knee – Questionable
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
- Nikola Jovic – Suspension – Out
- Orlando Robinson – Back – Questionable
