Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Preview
At 10:00 ET, the Kings (-116) will host the Nuggets (-105) in a Western Conference matchup. Denver comes in having won three straight and is currently in second place in the West. Sacramento (-1) has dropped two in a row and is seventh in the conference.
This game will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on NBCS.
Check out BetCoco for Sacramento Kings – Denver Nuggets odds
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Nuggets and Kings did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Kings have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Nuggets went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 232 points per game.
- Although Denver has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-6-1. The team averaged 109 points per game in these games.
- Through their last five home games, Sacramento has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Kings have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
In their last game against the Lakers, the Nuggets won by a score of 114-106. The over/under line for that game was 232.5 points, and the Nuggets covered the spread as 3-point favorites.
Denver has won three straight games and currently has a record of 36-16, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, the Nuggets are 16-5 compared to 20-11 against Western Conference opponents.
As the underdog this season, the Nuggets have a record of 2-4 and are 3-3 against the spread as underdogs. Today, they are 1-point underdogs on the spread. Their ATS record on the road is 10-16.
This season, the average over/under line in Denver’s games is 227.6, which is lower than today’s line of 232.5. The Nuggets have hit the under in their last two games and have an O/U record of 18-33-1 for the season.
Overall, the Nuggets have gone 22-28 ATS this season and are 19-25 ATS as the favorite. In their last game, they covered the spread vs. the Lakers.
The Nuggets are 17th in the NBA in scoring at 114.8 points per game. However, they have been better at home, where they are 10th in the league with an average of 119.5 points per game. On the road, Denver is 24th in scoring at 110.4 points per game.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.2% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is the slowest team in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 6th in the league with a field goal percentage of 49%. Inside the arc, Denver is 9th in two-point shooting at 55%. However, they are just 12th in three-point shooting at 37%.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 28.8% of their games. Currently, they are 4th in the NBA at 110.5 points per game allowed. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 106 points to the Lakers.
In Sacramento’s last game, they lost to the Pistons by a score of 133-120. The combined scoring in that game was 253 points, which was well above the O/U line of 239. The Kings were favored by 13 points in that game.
This season, the Kings have a record of 25-24-1 on the over/under, and their games have averaged a combined 236.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 232.5 points, and Sacramento has gone over the total in their last four games.
In terms of their ATS record, the Kings are 26-24 overall and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 10-13 ATS, compared to 16-11 on the road.
Sacramento is currently 7th in the Western Conference with a record of 29-21. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 18-13 and 6-5 against division opponents. In non-conference games, they are 11-8.
The Kings are one of the top offensive teams in the NBA, averaging 118.4 points per game (9th). At home, they are averaging 121.3 points per game (7th).
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are one of the best in the league. They are 3rd in both three-point attempts and makes, averaging 14.9 made threes per game.
Sacramento’s offense is also 7th in pace at 100.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th at 48%.
At present, the Kings’ defense is ranked 22nd, allowing 118.1 points per game. The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.
Based on projections, we have the Kings coming out on top by a score of 115-109.
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- Take the Kings on the moneyline
- The Kings should also cover at -1
- Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Chris Duarte – Ankle – Questionable
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Hamstring – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
