Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Preview
Planning on watching today’s Nuggets and Kings game? Catch the action at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA, as the Kings hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on NBCS.
This Western conference matchup has an over/under of 229.5 points, and the Kings are favored to win at home vs. the Nuggets. Check out BetCoco for Sacramento Kings – Denver Nuggets odds
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Kings have faced off vs. the Nuggets as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. The last last three times that the Nuggets have faced off against the Kings as the underdog, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 108 points per game in this stretch.
- Across their ten previous home games, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 112 points per game.
- Through their last five games as the underdog, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Kings have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Over the Nuggets’ last five games, they are 4-1 and come in with an overall record of 14-6. At the moment, the team holds 2nd place in the Western Conference and 2nd place in the Northwest division.
Denver has an overall ATS record of 8-11 as they come into today’s game. Denver has covered the spread in two straight road games and are 3-8 ATS on the road compared to 5-3 at home.
In terms of their over/under record, the Nuggets are 8-12-0 so far this season. They have an average over/under line of 222.6 in their games, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is 1.6.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets’ offense tallied 119 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 114.4 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Nikola Jokic, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 28.6, while Michael Porter Jr. also carries a PPG average of 17.6 into the game.
Denver’s defense has been playing well, ranking 7th in the NBA with 109.8 points allowed per game.
Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.8% and 35.6% from three-point territory.
The Kings will face the Nuggets bringing in an overall record of 10-7 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games. On the road this season, the Kings have posted a 5-5 record, whereas they have a 5-2 record at home.
Currently, Sacramento holds an above .500 ATS record of 9-8 so far this year. On the road, the Kings have an ATS record of 6-4 compared to a 3-4 record vs. the spread at home.
The over/under record for this season for the Kings is 9-8-0. The average over/under line in their games stands at 232.3, and they have a 0.6 differential against the over/under line for this season.
Coming off their recent game, the Kings offense tallied 117 points in a matchup against the Clippers. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.5%, and they made 13 threes. Coming into the game, the Kings offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 34%. On average, they get up 42.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 18.1 made free-throws.
Facing Denver, the Kings aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 116.7 points allowed per game (21st).
In their previous matchup vs. the Clippers, the Kings’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 53% leading to 131 points.
Despite being 3 point underdogs, we predict the Nuggets to come out on top with a final score of 110-109.
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- We like the Nuggets on the moneyline (+124)
- The Nuggets are also our pick on the spread at +3
- Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Alex Len – Ankle – Out
- Keegan Murray – Back – Questionable
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Heel – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Ankle – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
