Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Preview
At 10:00 ET, the 6th place Miami Heat (-6) will travel to take on the 14th place Portland Trail Blazers (+6) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat (32-25) are currently riding a 4 game win streak and are favored by -271 on the moneyline. The Blazers (15-41) have lost 8 straight and are +217 on the moneyline.
ROOT will have TV coverage for this game, which will be played at the Moda Center in Portland.
Check out BetCoco for Portland Trail Blazers – Miami Heat odds
Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Portland and Miami, the Heat hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 10 points.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 4-0-1 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
- Across their last three home contests, Portland has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 103 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-0-1 in these scenarios.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami has won four straight games and is 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 32-25. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
The Heat have a record of 27-27 against the spread this season, including going 14-15 as the favorite and 13-12 as the underdog. On the road, they are 15-11 ATS compared to 12-16 at home.
As the favorite, Miami is 22-10 straight-up and has won four straight games vs. the spread. As the favorite, they are 14-15 ATS compared to 13-12 as the underdog.
In their most recent game, the Heat beat the Kings by a score of 121-110. They were 7-point underdogs going into the game and have now covered the spread in seven straight games. The O/U line for the game was 224.5.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 22-35, and their games have averaged 220.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 214, and 50 of their games have had higher O/U lines than that.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.7 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 108.4 points per game.
So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA average in just 35.1% of their games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, Miami is 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also 28th in two-point field goals made and 27th in two-point shooting percentage at 52%.
On defense, the Heat come into the game ranked 4th in the league in points allowed at 110.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 103 points per contest (17th). Most recently, the Heat’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 110 points to the Kings.
In their last game, the Trail Blazers lost to the Hornets by a score of 93-80. The O/U line for that game was 213.5 points, and Portland was favored by 3.5 points going into the game.
Today, the Trail Blazers are looking to end their 8-game losing streak. They are currently 15-41 on the season, which has them in 14th place in the Western Conference.
As the underdog this season, the Trail Blazers are 14-36 straight-up and 24-26 against the spread. They have been the underdog in all but six of their games this season.
Portland’s O/U record for the season is 25-30-1, and their games have averaged 223.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 214 points.
In terms of their ATS record, the Trail Blazers are 25-31 overall and have failed to cover the spread in their last six games. At home, they are 11-17 ATS compared to 14-14 on the road.
So far this season, the Trail Blazers have been one of the NBA’s worst offensive teams, averaging just 107.4 points per game (29th). At home, they have scored 109.0 points per game.
Portland’s offensive struggles have been due in large part to their poor shooting. Overall, they are shooting just 43% from the field (30th). In terms of three-point shooting, they are making 34% of their attempts (27th).
When it comes to pace of play, the Blazers are in the middle of the pack at 20th in the NBA. They are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of assists, averaging just 22.5 per game (30th).
On defense, Trail Blazers is currently around the league average in points allowed, giving up an average of 116.5 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Trail Blazers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 58.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 34.6% from downtown.
Even though they are considered 6-point underdogs, our projection points to a 91-77 win for the Trail Blazers.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- We like the Trail Blazers on the moneyline (+217)
- The Trail Blazers are also our pick on the spread at +6
- Our NBA model projects 168 points, and we suggest taking the under
Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report
- Malcolm Brogdon – Illness – Out
- Robert Williams III – Knee – Out
- Moses Brown – Wrist – Out
- Shaedon Sharpe – Abdomen – Out
- Scoot Henderson – Adductor – Out
- Rayan Rupert – Ankle – Probable
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Knee – Questionable
- Thomas Bryant – Suspension – Out
- Tyler Herro – Knee – Questionable
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
- Orlando Robinson – Back – Questionable
