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orlando magic vs miami heat 12/20/2023 sport preview

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips 12/20/2023

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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat 12/20/2023
  • We like the Heat on the moneyline (+159)
  • The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
  • Projecting a combined 223 points, we like the over

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Preview

Betting on today’s Heat and Magic game? Catch the action at Amway Center in Orlando, FL, as the Magic hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on BSF.

This Southeast division matchup has an over/under of 219.5 points, and the Magic are favored to win at home vs. the Heat. Check out BetCoco for Orlando Magic – Miami Heat odds

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Heat and Magic did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Heat have a record of 2-1. The Heat also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 227 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

  • Although Miami has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-3-1. The team averaged 111 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Orlando has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Magic have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction

Coming into today’s game, the Heat are 15-12 overall and 5-5 in their last ten games. In non-conference games, they are 3-2 compared to 12-10 against Eastern Conference opponents.

Miami has an ATS record of 11-15 for this season, which includes their current three game losing streak against the spread. In their last three home games, Miami has been unable to cover the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 3-10 at home compared to 8-5 on the road.

The over/under record for the Heat stands at 14-13-0 so far this season. Their played games maintain an ongoing average of 205.0 points per game, alongside an average over/under line of 220.6.

Most recently, the Heat’s offense finished with just 108 points vs. the Timberwolves. For the game, they hit 11/30 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 47.1%. On the offensive front, the Heat have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 16th in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 1st in terms of percentage and 12th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 10 in the NBA, permitting 112.0 points per game.

When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 38.3% from downtown.

Coming into their matchup with the Heat, the Magic are 16-9 and have lost their last two games. They currently hold the 4th spot in the Eastern Conference and are in 1st place in the Southeast division.

Against the spread, Orlando have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 17-8 ATS. This season, Orlando has a 8-1 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 9-7 when playing as underdogs.

The Magic have achieved an over/under record of 13-12-0 so far this season. The average over/under line in their games stands at 224.4, and they have a -1.3 differential against the over/under line for this season.

Compared to their season average of 113.2 points per game, the Magic struggled in their previous game. Against the Celtics, the Magic scored 97 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 38.2%. Offensively, the Magic hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 13th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 26th in terms of percentage and 29th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Magic’s defense holds the 4 rank in the NBA, allowing 109.9 points per game.

On two point field goal attempts, the Magic’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.7% and allowing 36.2% from beyond the arc.

Even though they are 4.5 point underdogs, we see the Heat winning this game by a score of 114-109.

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Betting Tips

  • We like the Heat on the moneyline (+159)
  • The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
  • Projecting a combined 223 points, we like the over

Orlando Magic Injury Report

  • Joe Ingles – Ankle – Questionable
  • Markelle Fultz – Knee – Out
  • Kevon Harris – Coach’s Decision – Out

Miami Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler – Calf – Out
  • Kevin Love – Illness – Questionable
  • Dru Smith – Knee – Out

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