Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-205) will host the Sacramento Kings (+169) for a Western Conference matchup. The Thunder (-5.5) are favored over the Kings, and the over/under line is set at 226.5.
This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 3rd in the Western Conference and the Kings are 8th. This game will be televised on NBCS.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Sacramento Kings odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Kings have the edge in their recent matchups against Oklahoma City, going 2-1. In the last three games Sacramento is averaging 115 points per game compared to 116 for the Thunder.
- Across their last three road contests, Sacramento has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 105 points per game.
- Across the Thunder last five home games, the team averaged 110 points per game while allowing 120. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-5, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Kings have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.
- Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-3.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is now 36-41-1 after their last two games have gone under the betting line. Today’s O/U line is set at 226.5, and the Kings have averaged 231.8 points per game this season.
In their last game against the Nets, the Kings won by a score of 107-77. The O/U line for that game was 216 points, giving Sacramento the win. The Kings were favored by 11 points in that game.
In the Western Conference, the Kings are currently in 8th place with a record of 45-33. Within the Pacific Division, they are 3rd. On the road, Sacramento is 22-18 this season.
Sacramento has covered the spread in their last two games and has an overall ATS record of 40-38. On the road, their ATS record is 24-16, and they are 15-10 ATS as underdogs.
As underdogs this season, the Kings have gone 11-14 and are 15-10 ATS. Today, they are 5.5-point underdogs. In 63 of their 78 games, the O/U line has been higher than 226.5.
When it comes to scoring, the Kings are 9th in the NBA at 116.7 points per game. However, they have scored less than their average in 42.3% of their games this season. Over their last four games, the Kings have scored less than their average.
In terms of pace, Sacramento is 14th in the NBA at 99.1 possessions per game. On the road, they are averaging 114.8 points per game compared to 118.7 at home.
One area where the Kings have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 4th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game at 14.3. Overall, Sacramento is shooting 36% from beyond the arc.
Currently, the Kings’ defense holds the 17th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.1 points per game. The Sacramento defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Sacramento.
Today, the Thunder are favored by 5.5 points against the Kings. This season, Oklahoma City has gone 43-14 as the favorite and has won their last two games as the favorite. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 43-35, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last five games. At home, they are 23-14 ATS compared to 20-21 ATS on the road.
The Thunder’s O/U record for the season is 43-34-1, and the over has hit in their last three games. In their games this season, the average combined scoring is 233.3 points per game.
Oklahoma City’s most recent game was a 121-118 win over the Hornets. The O/U line for that game was 218.5. The Thunder were favored by 7.5 points in that game.
Overall, the Thunder are 53-25 this season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 33-16 and 12-4 in their division. At home, the Thunder are 29-8 compared to 24-17 on the road.
The Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA this season, ranking 3rd in scoring at 119.8 points per game. At home, they have been even better, averaging 122.9 points per game.
Oklahoma City has been one of the top teams in the league in terms of two-point field goal percentage, hitting 56% of their shots inside the arc. Overall, they are 2nd in field goal percentage at 49%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 3rd in the NBA at 38%. On average, they are making 13.3 threes per game, which is 9th in the league.
So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 14th in the league at 113.5 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 52.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.8% of their three-point attempts.
Based on our analysis, we foresee the Thunder winning the game with a predicted score of 128-102.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Betting Tips
- Take the Thunder on the moneyline
- The Thunder should also cover at -5.5
- Projecting a combined 230 points, we like the over
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- Gordon Hayward – Lower Leg – Out
- Jalen Williams – Ankle – Questionable
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Malik Monk – Knee – Out
- Kevin Huerter – Shoulder – Out
- Keegan Murray – Calf – Questionable