Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder in a Western Northwest division matchup. The Thunder are favored by 2.5 points and have a moneyline of -138. The over/under line is set at 224.5. The Timberwolves are 2nd in the Western Conference and have a record of 32-14. The Thunder are 1st in the Western Conference and also have a record of 32-14.
This game is set to tip-off at 8:00 ET and can be seen on BSO.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Timberwolves and Thunder did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Thunder have the leg up at 2-1. The Thunder also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 214 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- Although Minnesota has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 112 points per game in these games.
- Across their ten previous home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 118 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Minnesota posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Oklahoma City posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Minnesota is 2.5-point underdogs on the road today vs. the Thunder. The Timberwolves have been the underdog in just nine of their 46 games this season and are 4-5 straight-up and 5-4 vs. the spread in those games.
The Timberwolves are 32-14 this season, which is the 2nd-best record in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 11-6 compared to 21-8 against the West.
Against the spread, Minnesota is 22-23 overall and 11-13 on the road. Their average ATS scoring margin on the road is +2.6 points per game.
Minnesota’s O/U record for the season is 23-23, and the under has hit in their last three games. This year, their games have averaged 220.7 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 224.5.
In their last game, the Timberwolves lost to the Spurs by a score of 113-112. Minnesota was favored by 10.5 points going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 227.5.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Timberwolves are averaging 113.1 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. On the road, they are scoring 113.4 points per game compared to 112.7 at home.
So far, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.5% of their games. They have also made 12.3 three-pointers per game, which is 17th in the league.
Minnesota’s offense is currently ranked 25th in pace at 97.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 8th at 48%.
At present, the Timberwolves’ defense is ranked 1st, allowing 107.6 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Spurs, the Timberwolves’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 57% leading to 113 points.
Today’s O/U line of 224.5 points is lower than the season average of 234.2 points per game for the Thunder. Their games have averaged an O/U line of 234.1 points.
Oklahoma City has hit the under in their last two games and have a season record of 25-21 on the O/U. In their last game against the Pistons, the teams combined for 224 points, falling short of the O/U line of 237.
The Thunder are 31-15 against the spread this season, including a 16-6 record at home and 15-9 on the road. As the favorite, they have a 20-10 ATS record and are favored by 2.5 points today.
Oklahoma City is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 32-14. In their last game, they lost to the Pistons by a score of 120-104. The Thunder were favored by 12.5 points in that game.
Against Western Conference teams, the Thunder are 20-10 compared to 12-4 in non-conference play. On average, they are outscoring their Western Conference opponents by 6.0 points per game on the road and by 10.5 points per game at home.
When playing at home, the Thunder are averaging 123.9 points per game, which is 3rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 121.2 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.
One area where the Thunder have excelled is their two-point shooting. They are 3rd in the league in two-point field goal percentage at 57%. Overall, they are shooting 50% from the field, which is 2nd in the NBA.
So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.6% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 3rd in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 17th in the league.
Currently, the Thunder’s defense holds the 13th rank in the NBA, allowing 113.0 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Thunder defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.3% while allowing 36.1% from downtown.
Coming in as 2.5 point favorites, our projections have the Thunder picking up a 118-117 win.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips
- Take the Thunder on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Timberwolves (+2.5)
- Projecting a combined 235 points, we like the over
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- Tre Mann – Not With Team – Out
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Mike Conley – Hamstring – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
