Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Pacers (+221) will take on the Thunder (-276) in a non-conference matchup. The Thunder (-7) are favored and have won three straight games. The over/under line for the game is 241.
This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Pacers are 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 36-29, while the Thunder are 1st in the Western Conference at 45-19.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Indiana Pacers odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Indiana and Oklahoma City, the Thunder hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 7 points.
- The Pacers are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
- Across the Thunder last three home games, the team averaged 116 points per game while allowing 115. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
- The Pacers have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
- Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Thunder have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The Pacers have won two straight games as the underdog and are 18-16 as the underdog this season. As the underdog, their ATS record is 20-12, and they have an average scoring differential of -2.4 points per game.
This season, Indiana has played in 34 games as the underdog and has gone 34-31 on the over/under. Today’s O/U line of 241 is lower than their season average of 244.5 points per game.
Indiana’s most recent game was a 111-97 win over the Magic. The O/U line for that game was 222 points. The Pacers were 1-point underdogs in that game, giving them an ATS win.
In the Eastern Conference, the Pacers are currently in 7th place with a record of 36-29. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 26-15 compared to 10-14 against the West.
On the road, the Pacers are 16-16 this season and have an ATS record of 17-14 on the road. This year, they have an average scoring differential of -1.9 points per game on the road.
Indiana comes into this game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 123.1 points per game. They have been especially potent on the road, where they are averaging 120.3 points per game.
So far this season, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.8% of their games. They are also the top-ranked team in field goal percentage at 50%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Indiana is 8th in the league with a 37% success rate. They are also 2nd in the league in assists, averaging 30.6 per game.
At present, the Pacers’ defense is ranked 28th, allowing 121.4 points per game. Opponents are hitting 56.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.2% of their three-point attempts.
In Thunder games this season, the average over/under line is 233.6, which is lower than today’s line of 241. The team’s games have averaged 233.7 points per game.
Oklahoma City’s last two games have gone under the O/U line, and they have an O/U record of 34-29-1 for the season. Today’s line is 2 points lower than their last game (219.5).
OKC comes into today’s game as 7-point favorites, and they have won three straight games as the favorite. So far this season, they are 36-12 as the favorite.
The Thunder’s ATS record for the season is 40-24, and they have covered the spread in nine straight home games. At home, they are 22-10 ATS compared to 18-14 on the road.
In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Grizzlies by a score of 124-93. OKC was favored by 15 points in that game, and they covered the spread.
Oklahoma City is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 45-19. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 28-15 and 17-4 against the East.
When playing at home this season, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA, averaging 123.1 points per game (4th). Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 120.8 points per game.
While the Thunder have been one of the best teams in terms of three-point shooting percentage (1st), they are just 16th in three-point attempts per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league.
When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 12th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th at 27 per game.
This season, the Thunder’s defense is the 12th ranked defense in the NBA at 12th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 56.2% of their games. Oklahoma City’s defense is currently forcing 11.5 turnovers per game, which is 2nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 1st in blocked shots, with an average of 6.8 rejections per game.
Despite being 7 point underdogs, we predict the Pacers to come out on top with a final score of 115-114.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Betting Tips
- We like the Pacers on the moneyline (+221)
- The Pacers are also our pick on the spread at +7
- Our NBA model projects 229 points, and we suggest taking the under
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- Jalen Williams – Ankle – Questionable
Indiana Pacers Injury Report
- Doug McDermott – Calf – Out
- Bennedict Mathurin – Shoulder – Out