Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Preview
In a Western Northwest division matchup, the Nuggets and Thunder will face off at the Paycom Center. The Thunder (-118) are favored by 1.5 points over the Nuggets (-102). The over/under line is set at 228.5 points.
Denver is currently 33-15 and has won two straight games. They are 2nd in the Western Conference and Northwest Division. The Thunder have lost two straight games and are 3rd in the West and Northwest Division at 32-15.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Denver Nuggets odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games that the Thunder have hosted the Nuggets, they are a perfect 3-0. Looking back over the previous three times that the Nuggets and Thunder have faced off, they have combined to average 222 points per game and have an over/under record of 0-3.
- Across the Nuggets last ten road games, the team averaged 111 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-6-1, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Denver has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
- The last three games that Oklahoma City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 33-15. In the West, they have gone 17-10 compared to 16-5 in non-conference games.
On the road, the Nuggets are 14-11 for the season. Their scoring differential on the road is -0.9 points per game. As the underdog, they are 2-3 straight-up and 8-16 against the spread.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 17-30-1, and their last six games have gone under the total. On average, their games have finished with 226 points.
In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Bucks by a score of 113-107. They were favored by 4 points and improved their ATS record to 20-26.
The O/U line for today’s game is 228.5, which is slightly higher than the Nuggets’ season average of 227.9. This year, 24 of their games have had lower O/U lines than 228.5.
Coming into tonight’s game, the Nuggets are 17th in the NBA in scoring at 115 points per game. However, on the road, their scoring average drops to 110.6 points per game (23rd).
Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage (49%). They are also 6th in two-point field goal percentage (56%).
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.9% of their games. They are 14th in offensive rebounds (10.9 per game) and 4th in assists (28.8 per game).
The Nuggets’ defense is presently ranked 4th in the league, allowing an average of 110.9 points per contest. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 107 points to the Bucks.
Today, the Thunder will look to improve their ATS record of 16-7 at home as 1.5-point favorites. Overall, they are 23-8 as the favorite and have gone 20-11 vs. the spread as the favorite.
Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 25-22, and the under has hit in three straight games. On average, their games have finished with 233.7 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 228.5.
In their most recent game, the Thunder lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 107-101. The O/U line for that game was 224 points, and OKC was favored by 2.5 points going into the game.
Despite the loss, the Thunder are still in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a record of 32-15. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 20-11 and 9-3 against teams in the Northwest Division.
For the season, the Thunder have an ATS record of 31-16 and have gone 2-3 vs. the spread in their last five games. At home, they are 16-7 ATS, and their average scoring differential at home is +9.8 PPG.
At home, the Thunder are ranked 4th in the NBA in scoring at 122.9 points per game. Overall, they are 3rd in the league with an average of 120.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Oklahoma City is 2nd in the NBA at 50%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 14th in made threes at 12.9 per game. They are also 3rd in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league.
So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 68.1% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 10th in the league with an average of 27 per game.
So far this season, the Thunder defense has been performing well, ranking 13th in the NBA at 112.9 points allowed per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Thunder’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.3% and allowing 36.4% from beyond the arc.
Despite being 1.5 point underdogs, we predict the Nuggets to come out on top with a final score of 117-116.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- We like the Nuggets on the moneyline (-102)
- The Nuggets are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 233 points, we like the over
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Illness – Questionable
- Luguentz Dort – Ankle – Questionable
- Isaiah Joe – Sternum – Out
- Chet Holmgren – Ankle – Questionable
- Jalen Williams – Ankle – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Nikola Jokic – Low Back – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
