Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
The Dallas Mavericks (38-28) travel to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-20) in a Western Conference matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET at Paycom Center. The Thunder (-446) are currently a 10-point favorite over the Mavericks (+347), and the over/under line for the game is set at 237.5.
Dallas is currently on a four-game win streak and is 2nd in the Southwest Division and 8th in the Western Conference. The Thunder are 2nd in the Northwest Division and 2nd in the Western Conference.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Dallas Mavericks odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Thunder have the edge in their recent matchups against Dallas, posting a record of 2-1. In the last three games Oklahoma City is averaging 119 points per game compared to 125 for the Mavericks.
- In their last five road games, Dallas has averaged 126 points per game while allowing 120 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Although Oklahoma City has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Thunder struggled vs the spread going just 1-4. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Dallas is currently 38-28 on the season and has won four straight games. In the Western Conference, they are in 8th place and are 2nd in the Southwest Division.
On the road, the Mavericks are 18-13 this season and have covered the spread in two straight games. Their ATS record on the road is 20-11.
As the underdog, Dallas is 9-17 this season and is 11-15 ATS as the underdog. Today, they are getting 10 points against the Thunder.
The Mavericks’ O/U record for the season is 33-33, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 236.5 points.
In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Warriors by a score of 109-99. They were favored by 8.5 points going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 234.
This season, the Mavericks have been one of the NBA’s most potent offenses, averaging 119 points per game (6th). In terms of scoring, they have been slightly better on the road, averaging 118.1 points compared to 119.8 at home (8th).
When it comes to three-point shooting, Dallas is one of the league’s best. They are 3rd in made threes per game (14.8) and 2nd in attempts (39.8). Overall, the Mavericks are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (12th).
So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.1% of their games. However, they have failed to reach the league average in 37.9% of their contests. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA at 99.7 possessions per game.
For the season, Dallas is sitting 22nd in terms of points allowed per game (117.5). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in three straight games. Opponents are hitting 55.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.8% of their three-point attempts.
In Thunder games this season, the average over/under line is 233.7, which is lower than today’s line of 237.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 34-30-1, and the under has hit in their last three games.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 40-25, including a 22-11 mark at home. On the road, they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. As the favorite, they are 29-20 vs. the spread and 36-13 straight-up.
Oklahoma City’s last game was a 121-111 loss to the Pacers. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 40-20 for the season. The O/U line for that game was 240.5.
Overall, the Thunder are 45-20 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 28-15 and 11-4 in their division.
On average, the Thunder are scoring 114.2 points per game at home and allowing 102.7 points per game. This gives them a scoring differential of +11.5 PPG. On the road, their scoring differential is +3.7 PPG.
At home, the Thunder have been one of the top scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 122.7 points per game (4th). Overall, they are 3rd in the league in scoring at 120.7 points per game. When it comes to pace, Oklahoma City is 12th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in the league in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, hitting 39% of their attempts from beyond the arc (1st).
So far this season, Oklahoma City has outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.2% of their games. At home, they have scored 118.6 points per game compared to 120.7 on the road.
Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 113.0 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Thunder squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 51.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.7% from downtown.
In spite of being 10 point underdogs, we anticipate the Mavericks winning this one 120-114.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+347)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +10
- Our NBA model projects 234 points, and we suggest taking the under
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Luka Doncic – Hamstring – Questionable
- Brandon Williams – Wrist – Questionable
