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new orleans pelicans vs denver nuggets prediction 11/17/2023 sport preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips 11/17/2023

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets 11/17/2023:
  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Pelicans (+4)
  • Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Preview

Don’t miss out on the NBA showdown between the Nuggets and Pelicans. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on BSNO, and it’s hosted by the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA. Get ready to place your bets!

The Nuggets come into this Western conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 224.5 points. Check out BetCoco for New Orleans Pelicans – Denver Nuggets odds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets are averaging 114 points per game, compared to the Pelicans at 112. These figures have led to Denver posting a record of 2-1.

  • Through their last five road contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 107 points per game while allowing an average of 102. Denver posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Across the Pelicans last three home games, the team averaged 106 points per game while allowing 120. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 2-3 against the spread.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Over the Nuggets’ last five games, they are 4-1 and come in with an overall record of 9-2. In road games, the Nuggets have a 2-2 record this season, in contrast to their 7-0 record when playing at home.

Denver has an ATS record of 5-6 for this season, which includes their current three game losing streak against the spread. When playing on the road, the Nuggets hold an ATS record of 1-3 in contrast to a 4-3 record against the spread when playing at home.

So far, Denver has an over/under record of 3-8-0 and have had three straight games stay below the over/under lines. Their played games maintain an ongoing average of 226.0 points per game, alongside an average over/under line of 224.

Coming off their recent game, the Nuggets offense tallied 111 points in a matchup against the Clippers. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.4%, and they made 8 threes. Nikola Jokic is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 30 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Michael Porter Jr. brings a PPG average of 16.3 into the game.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 18.2% of their games. Currently, they are 5th in the NBA at 106.3 points per game allowed.

Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 50.8% and 33.6% from three-point territory.

So far this season, the Pelicans have a record of just 5-6, as they look to pick up a win over the Nuggets. In away games this season, the Pelicans have put together a 2-3 record, whereas they have a 3-3 record when playing at home.

New Orleans arrives with an ATS record of 5-6 for the season up to this point. During this season, New Orleans has a 2-2 record against the spread as favorites and 3-4 as underdogs.

In terms of their over/under record, the Pelicans are 6-5-0 so far this season. The average over/under line in their games is 225.6 and they have a 1.1 differential vs. the over/under line this season.

New Orleans’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 131 points against the Mavericks. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.1% and made 19/26 free throws. Brandon Ingram led the scoring for the Pelicans, contributing 25 points. Additionally, Jordan Hawkins chipped in with 25 points.

At this time, the Pelicans’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 115.6 points per game.

The New Orleans defense has allowed opponents to shoot 31.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.0% of their field goal attempts vs. New Orleans.

The Nuggets enter this game as 4-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 111-108.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips

  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Pelicans (+4)
  • Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under

New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report

  • CJ McCollum – Lung – Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. – Rib – Out
  • Trey Murphy III – Knee – Out
  • Jose Alvarado – Ankle – Doubtful

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • Jamal Murray – Hamstring – Out
  • Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out

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