Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-1074) will host the Spurs (+680) in a Western Conference matchup. Minnesota (-13.5) is currently 1st in the West with a 40-17 record, while San Antonio (11-47) is 15th.
This game will be played in Minneapolis at the Target Center and can be seen on BSN. The over/under line is currently set at 225.5 points.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – San Antonio Spurs odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Timberwolves and Spurs have gone in favor of the Timberwolves, putting together a record of 7-3. Over the last three head-to-head matchup between the Spurs and Timberwolves, the Spurs have the edge vs. the spread at 3-0, but the Timberwolves actually have a positive scoring differential of 5 points per game.
- San Antonio has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 116 points per game while allowing 126. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Through their last ten home games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 117 points per game.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
- Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
As the underdog, the Spurs have gone 7-46 this season and are 23-30 ATS as the underdog. Today’s O/U line of 225.5 is lower than 49 of their previous games, and they have a 30-27-1 O/U record for the season.
In non-conference games, the Spurs are 4-22 compared to 7-25 against Western Conference opponents. On the road, they are 6-26 and are 15-17 ATS on the road.
San Antonio is currently in 15th place in the Western Conference with a record of 11-47. In their last game, they lost to the Jazz by a score of 128-109. The Spurs were 7-point underdogs in that game.
This season, the average O/U line in Spurs games is 233.9, and their games have averaged 232.8 points. In their last game, the O/U line was 239.5.
Heading into their matchup against the Timberwolves, the Spurs are 24th in the league in scoring at 112.1 points per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 114.5 points compared to 110.1 on the road.
San Antonio’s offense is 3rd in the NBA in pace, but they are just 25th in field goal percentage at 46%. This has resulted in them being 27th in true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 30th in the league at 34%. Overall, they are 19th in two-point shooting at 53%.
Facing Minnesota, the Spurs aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 120.7 points allowed per game (26th). Inside the arc, the Spurs defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.0% and 38.6% from three-point territory.
Minnesota is currently 40-17 on the season, which is the best record in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 27-8 and 8-2 against teams in the Northwest Division.
As the favorite, the Timberwolves are 34-12 this season and have been favored in 46 of their 57 games. Today, they are favored by 13.5 points and have gone 23-22 against the spread as the favorite.
Minnesota has won their last four games on the road and have an ATS record of 16-14 on the road. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +9 points per game.
The Timberwolves’ O/U record for the season is 28-29, and their last two games have gone under the posted totals. On average, their games have finished with 220.1 points.
In their last game, Minnesota defeated the Nets by a score of 101-86. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and the Timberwolves were favored by 8 points.
At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 112 points per game, which is 25th in the NBA. Overall, they are 20th in the league with 113.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 25th in the NBA at 97.4 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. From beyond the arc, they are 3rd in three-point shooting at 39%. In terms of free throws, Minnesota is 10th in made free throws at 18.5 per game.
So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 18th in the league with 26.3 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Minnesota is 28th in the NBA.
Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves’ defense is giving up an average of 106.4 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 13.9 per game, which is 25th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 7th in blocked shots at 5.9 per game.
With the Timberwolves being favored by 13.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 122-118 in favor of the Timberwolves.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips
- Take the Timberwolves on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Spurs (+13.5)
- Projecting a combined 240 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Rudy Gobert – Ankle – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
- Marcus Morris Sr. – Not With Team – Out
- Charles Bassey – Left Knee – Out
