Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Preview
In a Western Conference matchup, the Timberwolves (-129) host the Suns (+107) at the Target Center. Minnesota is favored by 2 points and the over/under is set at 217.
Phoenix is currently on a two-game win streak and sits 7th in the Western Conference, while the Timberwolves are 2nd in the West.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – Phoenix Suns odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Suns have faced off vs. the Timberwolves as the underdog, they have gone 2-1. In the last five head to head games between the Suns and Timberwolves, the average combined point total is 224 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 3-2.
- Across their last five road contests, Phoenix has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 112 points per game.
- In their last three games at home, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 107 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
Phoenix is currently in 7th place in the Western Conference with a record of 48-33. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place. This season, they have gone 28-23 against other Western Conference teams and 20-10 against the East.
The Suns have won their last two games and are 23-17 on the road this season. Against the spread, they are 18-22 on the road and have covered the spread in three straight games on the road.
As the underdog, Phoenix has a record of 8-12 this season and is 9-11 against the spread. They have been the underdog in 20 of their 81 games and have an average scoring differential of -3.2 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Suns defeated the Kings by a score of 108-107. The O/U line for that game was 225.5, and Phoenix was favored by 4.5 points.
This season, the Suns have an O/U record of 35-45-1, and their games have averaged 229.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 217 is lower than all but one of their games this season.
Phoenix has been one of the most efficient offenses in the league this season, ranking 5th in field goal percentage and 4th in true shooting percentage. They are also 7th in three-point shooting at 38%.
When it comes to scoring, the Suns are 10th in the NBA at 116.1 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually scored more on the road (116.4) than at home (115.8).
As a team, the Suns have made an average of 12.4 three-pointers per game (20th) and are 2nd in free throws made at 18.9 per game. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league.
Currently, the Suns’ defense holds the 13th rank in the NBA, allowing 113.3 points per game. Phoenix’s defense is currently forcing 14.1 turnovers per game, which is 25th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 6th in blocked shots, with an average of 6 rejections per game.
Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 40-40, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games. At home, they are 18-22 ATS, and their average scoring margin vs. the spread at home is +8.9 points per game.
The Timberwolves have been favored in 62 of their 81 games this season and have a record of 47-15 in those games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 29-32, and they have covered the spread in their last two games as the favorite.
In their most recent game, Minnesota defeated the Hawks by a score of 109-106. The O/U line for the game was 226.5, and the Timberwolves were favored by 12 points. This improved their record to 56-25 for the season, which is 2nd in the Western Conference.
On average, Minnesota’s games have finished with 219.4 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 217. This season, the Timberwolves have a record of 41-40 on the O/U.
At home this season, the Timberwolves are averaging 112.1 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 18th in the league at 113.1 points per game.
So far, Minnesota has outscored the NBA scoring average in 42.0% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 21st in the league at 97.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to field goal percentage, the Timberwolves are 10th in the NBA at 48%. They have been an efficient three-point shooting team, hitting 38% of their attempts from deep, which leads the league.
At present, the Timberwolves’ defense is ranked 1st, allowing 106.3 points per game. The Timberwolves defense is coming off a game in which they held the Hawks offense to just 48.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 106 points to Atlanta.
Despite being 2 point underdogs, we predict the Suns to come out on top with a final score of 114-113.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Tips
- We like the Suns on the moneyline (+107)
- The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +2
- Projecting a combined 227 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Karl-Anthony Towns – Knee – Questionable
- Anthony Edwards – Illness – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
Phoenix Suns Injury Report
- Damion Lee – Knee – Out
- Drew Eubanks – Ankle – Questionable
