Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Preview
At 9:00 ET, the Timberwolves will host the Nuggets in a Western Northwest division matchup. Minnesota is currently on a three-game win streak and sits at 47-21 overall. Denver is 47-21 as well and is favored by 7 points.
The over/under line for this game is set at 212.5 points. The Timberwolves are 2nd in the Western Conference, while the Nuggets are 3rd. Tip-off is at the Target Center in Minneapolis and can be seen on NBA TV.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – Denver Nuggets odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Denver and Minnesota, the Timberwolves hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 8 points.
- Through their last ten road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 110 points per game.
- Across the Timberwolves last ten home games, the team averaged 117 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 8-2 straight-up.
- Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
- Denver has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
In Denver’s last game, they were favored by 1.5 points against the Mavericks but lost the game 107-105. The O/U line for that game was 231.5, so the teams finished 19.5 points below that line.
This season, Denver has a record of 25-41-2 on the O/U, and their games have averaged 224.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 212.5 is lower than all of their previous games.
Looking at their ATS record, Denver is 31-35 for the season and 15-19 on the road. As the favorite, they have gone 26-30 ATS and are favored by 7 points today.
On the road, Denver has a straight-up record of 20-15, and they are 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 47-21. In the West, they are 26-15 against other teams and 6-5 in their division.
For the season, Denver’s games have averaged 227.3 on the O/U, which is higher than today’s line. They have also hit the under in their last three games.
Denver comes into this game ranked 15th in scoring at 114.7 points per game. Interestingly, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 110.7 points per game compared to 118.9 at home.
The Nuggets are one of the best shooting teams in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 9th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%. However, they are just 28th in three-point shooting at 37%.
When it comes to pace, Denver is 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 3rd in the NBA at 29.2 per contest.
At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th, allowing 110.2 points per game. The Nuggets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Mavericks offense to just 44% shooting. Overall, they gave up 107 points to Dallas.
Minnesota has won three straight games and is currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 47-21. In their last game, the Timberwolves defeated the Jazz by a score of 114-104. They were favored by 4.5 points in that game.
This season, Minnesota has an ATS record of 34-33, including going 14-17 ATS at home. Today, they are 7-point underdogs and have an ATS record of 9-6 as underdogs. The team’s ATS win streak is at three games, and they have covered the spread in three straight home games.
Out of Minnesota’s 68 games this season, 65 of them have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 212.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 34-34, and their last two games have gone under the posted total.
Against the Western Conference, the Timberwolves are 33-11 compared to 14-10 against non-conference opponents. In the West, they are currently 2nd in the standings.
At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 111.7 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 113.3 points per game. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 23rd in the league at 97.2 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves are 10th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also 4th in three-point shooting at 38%. In terms of three-point attempts, Minnesota is 23rd in the league at 32.5 per game.
So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.6% of their games. They are also 10th in free throw attempts, averaging 23 per game.
So far, the Timberwolves’ defense is ranked 1st in the league at 106.6 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Timberwolves are causing 13.5 turnovers per game, ranking 21st in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 5th in rejections, averaging 6.1 blocked shots each game.
Even though they are considered 7-point underdogs, our projection points to a 112-110 win for the Timberwolves.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- We like the Timberwolves on the moneyline (+232)
- The Timberwolves are also our pick on the spread at +7
- Projecting a combined 222 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Rudy Gobert – Rib – Questionable
- Karl-Anthony Towns – Knee – Out
- Naz Reid – Head – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Zeke Nnaji – Back – Questionable
