Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves (-1141) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+711) in a Western Conference matchup. The Timberwolves (-14) are currently 1st in the West, while the Mavericks are 7th. The over/under line for the game is 223.5.
BSN will have TV coverage from the Target Center in Minneapolis.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – Dallas Mavericks odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Timberwolves have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Mavericks and Timberwolves, the teams have averaged 223 points per game with an over/under record of 1-2. The last three times they have faced off with the Timberwolves as the home team, the OU record is 1-2.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Across their three previous home games, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 105 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Today, the Mavericks are 8-13 as the underdog, and they are 9-12 ATS in those games. As the underdog, their scoring margin is -5.8 points per game. As the underdog on the road, their ATS record is 13-8.
Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 26-21, and their games have averaged 237.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 223.5, and 44 of their games have had higher over/under lines than that. In games with higher O/U lines, they are 25-19.
In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Magic by a score of 131-129. The O/U line for that game was 227 points. Dallas was favored by 4.5 points in that game, and their ATS record is 24-23 for the season.
The Mavericks are currently 7th in the Western Conference with a record of 26-21. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 18-17 compared to 8-4 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 12-9.
When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are 6th in the NBA with an average of 118.9 points per game. On the road, they are 7th at 117.6 points per game.
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 2nd in both three-point makes (15.2 per game) and attempts (40.8 per game). Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 118.6 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 68.1% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.3% and allowing 36.9% from beyond the arc.
In Minnesota’s games this season, the average combined scoring total is 220.4 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 223.5. The Timberwolves have also hit the under in their last four games.
Minnesota’s ATS record this season is 23-23, and they have gone 11-10 against the spread at home. The team has failed to cover the spread in their last two home games.
As the favorite this season, the Timberwolves have a record of 28-9 and are favored by 14 points today. In their 37 games as the favorite, they are 17-19 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +7.7 points per game.
Minnesota’s last game was a 107-101 win over the Thunder. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 224 points.
Minnesota is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 33-14. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 22-8 compared to 11-6 in non-conference games.
At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 112.7 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA. Overall, they are 22nd in scoring at 112.9 points per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA average in just 42.6% of their games.
Minnesota is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 39% of their attempts. However, they are just 27th in three-point attempts. In terms of pace, they are 25th at 97.4 possessions per game.
So far, the Timberwolves have made 48% of their shots, which is 8th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 16th at 26.3 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Minnesota is 27th in the league.
This season, the Timberwolves’ defense is the 1st ranked defense in the NBA at 1st PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 74.5% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 50.8% while allowing 35.6% from downtown.
With the Timberwolves being favored by 14, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 113-109 in favor of the Timberwolves.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- Take the Timberwolves on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Mavericks (+14)
- Our NBA model projects 222 points, and we suggest taking the under
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Mike Conley – Hamstring – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Kyrie Irving – Thumb – Out
- Dante Exum – Knee – Doubtful
- Derrick Jones Jr. – Wrist – Doubtful
- Luka Doncic – Ankle – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Nose – Out
