Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-102) will travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks (-119). Minnesota currently sits in 2nd place in the Western Conference, while Milwaukee is 3rd in the East. The Bucks are favored by 1 point and the over/under line is 228.5.
This non-conference matchup will be played at Fiserv Forum and can be seen on BSW.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Bucks – Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Bucks are averaging 119 points per game, compared to the Timberwolves at 118. These figures have led to Milwaukee posting a record of 2-1.
- Across their three previous road games, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 114 points per game.
- In their last three games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 114 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
- Milwaukee has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
In Minnesota’s games this season, the average combined scoring total is 220.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 228.5 points.
Minnesota has an O/U record of 25-26 this season, with 41 of their games having lower O/U lines than today’s. In their last game against the Bulls, the teams combined for 252 points, easily surpassing the O/U line of 217.
The Timberwolves are 5-5 as underdogs this season and have an ATS record of 12-14 on the road. Their straight-up road record is 16-11. In their last two games as underdogs, they have covered the spread.
Minnesota’s last game was a 129-123 loss to the Bulls. The Timberwolves were favored by 5.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 217.
Minnesota is currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 35-16. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 24-8 and 6-2 against teams in the Northwest Division.
Heading into their matchup with the Bucks, the Timberwolves are 22nd in the league in scoring at 113.1 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 113.5 points per game.
Minnesota is 8th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48% and is 7th in true shooting percentage. However, they are just 28th in offensive rebounds and are 25th in pace.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 2nd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. In terms of assists, they are 17th in the league.
Not only do the Timberwolves’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 1st in the league in points allowed. Minnesota has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 11th in the league over their last three games at 109 PPG allowed. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.2 per game, which is 27th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 9th in blocked shots at 5.8 per game.
The Bucks are 33-18 this season and are currently 3rd in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 24-12 compared to 9-6 against the West.
Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 19-32, and they are 10-16 ATS at home. As the favorite, they are 18-28 ATS and have lost their last two ATS games overall.
In their last game, the Bucks lost to the Suns by a score of 114-106. Milwaukee was a 6-point underdog in that game, and the O/U line was 242.5.
This season, the Bucks have gone 28-23 on the O/U, and their games have averaged 243.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is lower than their season average of 239.9, and they have had five straight games finish below the O/U line.
Overall, the Bucks are 33-13 as the favorite this season and have been favored in 46 of their 51 games. Against the spread as the favorite, they are 5.4 points per game. As the favorite, they are 1-4 vs. the spread.
When playing at home, the Bucks are averaging 125.6 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 2nd in scoring at 123.3 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 2nd in the league at 101.9 possessions per game.
So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 74.5% of their games. They are also 2nd in free throw attempts and makes.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Milwaukee is 6th in three-point percentage at 37%. They are also 4th in field goal percentage overall.
Currently, the Bucks’ defense holds the 24th rank in the NBA, allowing 119.8 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.6% of their three-point attempts.
Our prediction for this game is that the Bucks will come out on top with a projected score of 125-116.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips
- Take the Bucks on the moneyline
- The Bucks should also cover at -1
- Projecting a combined 241 points, we like the over
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Giannis Antetokounmpo – Knee – Probable
- Khris Middleton – Ankle – Out
- Jae Crowder – Ankle – Probable
- Brook Lopez – Personal – Probable
- Damian Lillard – Ankle – Questionable
- Cameron Payne – Knee – Probable
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Monte Morris – Trade Pending – Questionable
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
