Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks are favored by 5.5 points over the Cleveland Cavaliers in tonight’s divisional matchup. The over/under line is set at 237.5 points.
The Bucks are on a three-game win streak and are currently 31-13, good for 2nd in the Eastern Conference. On the other side, the Cavaliers are 26-16 and sit 5th in the East.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Bucks – Cleveland Cavaliers odds
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Cavaliers and Bucks did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bucks have the leg up at 2-1. The Bucks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 233 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-3-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 112 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 123 points per game in these contests.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-4.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
The Cavaliers are 26-16 this season and are currently 5th in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 8-6 compared to 18-10 against other Eastern Conference teams.
As the underdog, the Cavaliers are 6-10 this season and are 7-8 ATS as the underdog. Their O/U record as the underdog is 16-3. On the road, they are 10-7 ATS.
In their last game against the Bucks, the Cavaliers lost 126-116. The O/U line for that game was 237.5, and Cleveland was 7-point underdogs going into the game.
This season, the Cavaliers have an O/U record of 20-21-1. Their last two games have gone over the O/U line, and today’s line of 237.5 is higher than 37 of their previous games.
The Cavaliers are 2nd in the Central Division and are 5.5-point underdogs today. Their ATS record on the road is 10-7, and they have an average scoring differential of +2.8 points per game on the road.
The Cavaliers have been a below-average scoring team this season, ranking 19th in the NBA at 114 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 113.2 points per game.
Cleveland has been an efficient shooting team overall, ranking 11th in field goal percentage at 47%. However, they are just 20th in three-point shooting at 35%.
When it comes to pace, the Cavaliers are 22nd in the NBA at 98 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th in the league with 26.8 per game.
Currently, the Cavaliers’ defense holds the 3rd rank in the NBA, allowing 110.1 points per game. Cleveland’s defense is currently forcing 13.1 turnovers per game, which is 17th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 24th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.5 rejections per game.
The Bucks have won three straight games and are 31-13 overall, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In the Central Division, they are in 1st place.
In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Bucks are 24-11 compared to 7-2 against the West. When playing at home, they are 20-4 and 11-9 on the road.
Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 17-27, and they have covered the spread in four straight home games. As the favorite, they are 16-26 ATS, and they have been favored in all but two games.
This will be the Bucks’ second straight game against the Cavaliers. In their last game, the Bucks won 126-116, covering the spread as 7-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was also 237.5.
On average, the Bucks’ games have seen a combined scoring total of 245 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 237.5. Their season record for O/U is 27-17.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 124.6 points per game (2nd). Interestingly, they have actually scored more on the road (122.8) than at home (126.0).
The Bucks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, making an average of 14.1 threes per game (5th). In terms of overall field goal percentage, they are shooting 49% (3rd).
So far this season, Milwaukee has outscored the NBA scoring average in 79.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 3rd in the league at 102.1 possessions per game.
So far, the Bucks defense is giving up 120.4 points per contest, which has them sitting 25th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Bucks are forcing 12.5 per game, which is 10th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 11th in blocked shots at 5.5 per game.
With the Bucks being favored by 5.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 120-116 in favor of the Bucks.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Tips
- Take the Bucks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Cavaliers (+5.5)
- Our NBA model projects 236 points, and we suggest taking the under
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Giannis Antetokounmpo – Back – Probable
Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report
- Tristan Thompson – Suspension – Out
- Darius Garland – Jaw – Out
- Ty Jerome – Ankle – Out
- Evan Mobley – Knee – Out
