Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Preview
In a non-conference matchup, the Miami Heat (-165) will host the Phoenix Suns (+136) at the Kaseya Center in Miami. The Heat (24-22) are favored by 3.5 points over the Suns (26-20), and the over/under line is set at 229.5.
Miami (-165) has dropped six straight games and is currently seventh in the Eastern Conference, while Phoenix (+136) has lost two in a row and is sixth in the Western Conference.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Phoenix Suns odds
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Heat have the edge in their recent matchups against Phoenix, posting a record of 2-1. In the last three games Miami is averaging 104 points per game compared to 107 for the Suns.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 118 points per game in this stretch.
- Through their last five home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 0-4-1. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 97 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
- Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
Phoenix is currently 26-20 on the season and are in 6th place in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-14 and 5-7 against teams in the Pacific Division.
On the road, the Suns have a straight-up record of 12-9 and are 9-12 against the spread. Their ATS record for the season is 16-29, and they have failed to cover in their last two games on the road.
Against the Western Conference, the Suns are 9-6 in non-conference games. As the underdog, they are 4-8 straight-up and 5-7 ATS. Today, they are getting 3.5 points on the spread.
In their last game, the Suns lost to the Magic by a score of 113-98. The O/U line for that game was 227 points, and Phoenix was favored by 1.5 points going into the game.
For the season, the Suns have an O/U record of 23-23, and their games have averaged 230.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 229.5, and 20 of their games have had lower over/under lines than that.
The Suns have been one of the most efficient offenses in the league this season, ranking 6th in field goal percentage and 5th in true shooting percentage. However, they have struggled from three-point range, hitting just 37% of their attempts (11th).
When it comes to scoring, Phoenix is averaging 116.4 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. On the road, they have averaged 115.8 points per game.
So far, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.2% of their games and are 23rd in pace at 97.9 possessions per game.
This season, the Suns’ defense is the 15th ranked defense in the NBA at 15th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 63.0% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Suns defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.5% while allowing 37.0% from downtown.
Miami is looking to end their six-game losing streak today as they host the Suns. The Heat are favored by 3.5 points and have gone 4-18 straight-up and 11-14 ATS in their last 19 games as the favorite.
In their last game, the Heat lost to the Knicks by a score of 125-109. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and Miami was getting 4.5 points going into the game.
This season, the Heat have an O/U record of 20-26, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have seen a combined scoring total of 222 points, which is lower than today’s line of 229.5.
Miami’s overall record is 24-22, which is good for 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-7 compared to 18-15 against the East.
When looking at their ATS record, the Heat are 19-25 for the season. At home, they are 8-14 ATS and have an average scoring differential of -0.9 points per game.
This season, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game. However, when playing at home, they have averaged 114.0 points per game.
So far, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 34.8% of their games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, Miami is 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. From two-point range, they are 27th in the NBA at 51%. However, the Heat are 7th in three-point shooting at 37%.
At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7th, allowing 111.6 points per game. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.
Despite being 3.5 point underdogs, we predict the Suns to come out on top with a final score of 123-113.
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Betting Tips
- We like the Suns on the moneyline (+136)
- The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +3.5
- Projecting a combined 236 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
Phoenix Suns Injury Report
- Jusuf Nurkic – Thumb – Out
- Damion Lee – Knee – Out
- Bol Bol – Foot – Out
