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miami heat vs milwaukee bucks prediction 11/28/2023 sport preview

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Betting Tips 11/28/2023

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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 11/28/2023
  • We like the Heat on the moneyline (+126)
  • The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview

Making on a bet on this NBA game featuring the Bucks versus the Heat? Tip off is at at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on TNT. The game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.

The Bucks are the favorites in this Eastern conference matchup the against the Heat. The over/under for the game is set at 225 points. Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Milwaukee Bucks odds

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last five head to head matchups, the Heat have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Bucks and Heat, the teams have averaged 240 points per game with an over/under record of 3-0. The last three times they have faced off with the Heat as the home team, the OU record is 3-0.

  • The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • In their last three home games, Miami has averaged 108 points per game while allowing 102. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • The last ten games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Bucks have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Facing the Heat today, the Bucks look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 12-5. Across 17 games, the Bucks have a 10-5 record when facing Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 2-0 record in non-conference games.

Milwaukee arrives with an ATS record of 6-11 for the season up to this point. In their last two home games, Milwaukee has been unable to cover the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 2-7 at home compared to 4-4 on the road.

In terms of their over/under record, the Bucks are 10-7-0 so far this season. Across the games they’ve played, the combined scoring average is 235.0 points per game, with an average over/under line of 233.6.

Compared to their season average of 120.4 points per game, the Bucks struggled in their previous game. Against the Trail Blazers, the Bucks scored 108 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 39.3%. Offensively, the Bucks have a season long field goal percentage of 49%, which is 6th in the league In terms of three-pointers, they are 8th in percentage and 7th in three-pointers made.

Looking at the Bucks defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 117.5 points per game (22nd).

Opponents are hitting 54.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.5% of their three-point attempts.

In today’s game against the Bucks, the Heat aim to continue their success with a record above .500, currently at 10-7. The team is currently 5th in the Eastern Conference, and they are also 2nd in the Southeast division.

Miami holds a .500 ATS record for the season, standing at 8-8 ATS. Miami has gone 4-5 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 4-3 when playing as underdogs.

In regard to their over/under record, the Heat have gone 7-10-0 so far this season. The games they’ve played have an ongoing average of 205.0 points per game, with an average over/under line of 218.3.

In their most recent game, the Heat’s offense concluded with only 97 points against the Nets. Throughout the game, they made 11/34 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 43.7%. The top scorer for the Heat was Caleb Martin with 22 points, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. also chipped in with 18 points.

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 6th in the league, allowing an average of 107.8 points per contest.

The Heat defense is coming off a game in which they held the Nets offense to just 43.7% shooting. Overall, they gave up 112 points to Brooklyn.

In spite of being 3 point underdogs, we anticipate the Heat winning this one 116-108.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips

  • We like the Heat on the moneyline (+126)
  • The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +3
  • Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under

Miami Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler – Ankle – Questionable
  • Bam Adebayo – Hip – Probable
  • Duncan Robinson – Thumb – Probable
  • Haywood Highsmith – Back – Questionable
  • Tyler Herro – Ankle – Out
  • R.J. Hampton – Knee – Out
  • Dru Smith – Knee – Out

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report

  • Khris Middleton – Achilles – Questionable
  • Jae Crowder – Groin – Out

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